沙田 · 2025-10-30 · 13:50
第 6場
2025-10-30沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1650米。由M F Poon策騎、C W Chang訓練的LESLIE勝出。SHANGHAI STYLE獲得亞軍；YOUTH POWER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門YODA'S CHOICE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LESLIE 後段發力 1:40.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 11 | 14.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | SHANGHAI STYLE 後段發力 H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 7.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | YOUTH POWER 後段發力 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY 後段發力 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 8.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CALIFORNIA STAR 後段發力 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | YODA'S CHOICE 早段領放 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 7 | 3.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | MEEPMEEP 後段發力 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 12 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | FASHION LEGEND Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 5 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CHARMING STEED 後段發力 K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 14 | 38.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | LUCK IS BACK L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 5.3 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SEA CHARIOT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 13 | 64.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | PRESTIGE RICKY R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | SPEEDY TRIDENT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 43.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 9 | MAGIC COSMOS D Probert · C H Yip | D Probert | C H Yip | 9 | 120.0 | 34 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | YODA'S CHOICE | 16.8% | 5.96 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | FASHION LEGEND | 16.5% | 6.06 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 10.1% | 9.93 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | YOUTH POWER | 8.7% | 11.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 8.3% | 12.06 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | LUCK IS BACK | 8.1% | 12.33 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | CALIFORNIA STAR | 7.0% | 14.21 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | MEEPMEEP | 5.1% | 19.45 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 4.9% | 20.42 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | CHARMING STEED | 4.7% | 21.41 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | LESLIE | 3.6% | 27.55 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 3.6% | 28.04 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | SEA CHARIOT | 1.6% | 61.60 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | MAGIC COSMOS | 0.9% | 106.86 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 143.5
PLACE
4 28
11 46.5
13 35
QUINELLA
4,13 498.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 181
4,13 161.5
11,13 282.5
FORECAST
13,4 1,117
TIERCE
13,4,11 15,101
TRIO
4,11,13 2,215
FIRST 4
4,7,11,13 4,382
QUARTET
13,4,11,7 129,294
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,11/4,11,13 656,286
5TH DOUBLE
3/4 65.5
3/13 1,152.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,6/2,3,11/Any Combination 36,609