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Sha Tin · 2025-10-30 · 21:47

Race 6

Class 4 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:40.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 LESLIE Closed strongly 1:40.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C W Chang 11 14.0 —
2 4 SHANGHAI STYLE Closed strongly H Bowman · C S Shum 4 7.2 1/2
3 11 YOUTH POWER Closed strongly H Bentley · D A Hayes 1 14.0 1-1/4
4 7 GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly C Y Ho · F C Lor 6 8.7 1-1/4
5 8 CALIFORNIA STAR Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 14.0 1-1/4
6 12 YODA'S CHOICE Led early L Ferraris · P C Ng 7 3.9 2-1/4
7 14 MEEPMEEP Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 12 13.0 2-1/2
8 6 FASHION LEGEND Z Purton · D Eustace 5 10.0 2-3/4
9 5 CHARMING STEED Closed strongly K De Melo · C Fownes 14 38.0 8-1/2
10 1 LUCK IS BACK L Hewitson · K W Lui 10 5.3 8-3/4
11 3 SEA CHARIOT C L Chau · W K Mo 13 64.0 11-3/4
12 2 PRESTIGE RICKY R Kingscote · P F Yiu 2 14.0 13-3/4
13 10 SPEEDY TRIDENT K Teetan · Y S Tsui 3 43.0 15
14 9 MAGIC COSMOS D Probert · C H Yip 9 120.0 34

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-30 was Class 4 over 1650m. LESLIE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C W Chang, won, with SHANGHAI STYLE second and YOUTH POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite YODA'S CHOICE finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LESLIE—2. SHANGHAI STYLE+0.5L3. YOUTH POWER+1.25L4. GLORIOUS JOURNEY+1.25L5. CALIFORNIA STAR+1.25L6. YODA'S CHOICE+2.25L7. MEEPMEEP+2.5L8. FASHION LEGEND+2.75L9. CHARMING STEED+8.5L10. LUCK IS BACK+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick YODA'S CHOICE (16.8%) finished 6th — the winner LESLIE was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 YODA'S CHOICE 16.8% 5.96 6
2 6 FASHION LEGEND 16.5% 6.06 8
3 4 SHANGHAI STYLE 10.1% 9.93 2
4 11 YOUTH POWER 8.7% 11.44 3
5 7 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 8.3% 12.06 4
6 1 LUCK IS BACK 8.1% 12.33 10
7 8 CALIFORNIA STAR 7.0% 14.21 5
8 14 MEEPMEEP 5.1% 19.45 7
9 2 PRESTIGE RICKY 4.9% 20.42 12
10 5 CHARMING STEED 4.7% 21.41 9
11 13 LESLIE 3.6% 27.55 1
12 10 SPEEDY TRIDENT 3.6% 28.04 13
13 3 SEA CHARIOT 1.6% 61.60 11
14 9 MAGIC COSMOS 0.9% 106.86 14
YODA'S CHOICEFASHION LEGENDSHANGHAI STYLEYOUTH POWERGLORIOUS JOURNEYLUCK IS BACKCALIFORNIA STARMEEPMEEPPRESTIGE RICKYCHARMING STEEDLESLIE — wonSPEEDY TRIDENTSEA CHARIOTMAGIC COSMOS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 143.5

PLACE

4 28

11 46.5

13 35

QUINELLA

4,13 498.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,11 181

4,13 161.5

11,13 282.5

FORECAST

13,4 1,117

TIERCE

13,4,11 15,101

TRIO

4,11,13 2,215

FIRST 4

4,7,11,13 4,382

QUARTET

13,4,11,7 129,294

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,11/4,11,13 656,286

5TH DOUBLE

3/4 65.5

3/13 1,152.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,3,6/2,3,11/Any Combination 36,609