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Sha Tin · 2025-10-30 · 13:50

Race 6

Class 4 1650m 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-30 was Class 4 over 1650m. LESLIE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C W Chang, won, with SHANGHAI STYLE second and YOUTH POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite YODA'S CHOICE finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1:40.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 LESLIE Closed strongly 1:40.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C W Chang 11 14.0
2 4 SHANGHAI STYLE Closed strongly H Bowman · C S Shum 4 7.2 1/2
3 11 YOUTH POWER Closed strongly H Bentley · D A Hayes 1 14.0 1-1/4
4 7 GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly C Y Ho · F C Lor 6 8.7 1-1/4
5 8 CALIFORNIA STAR Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 14.0 1-1/4
6 12 YODA'S CHOICE Led early L Ferraris · P C Ng 7 3.9 2-1/4
7 14 MEEPMEEP Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 12 13.0 2-1/2
8 6 FASHION LEGEND Z Purton · D Eustace 5 10.0 2-3/4
9 5 CHARMING STEED Closed strongly K De Melo · C Fownes 14 38.0 8-1/2
10 1 LUCK IS BACK L Hewitson · K W Lui 10 5.3 8-3/4
11 3 SEA CHARIOT C L Chau · W K Mo 13 64.0 11-3/4
12 2 PRESTIGE RICKY R Kingscote · P F Yiu 2 14.0 13-3/4
13 10 SPEEDY TRIDENT K Teetan · Y S Tsui 3 43.0 15
14 9 MAGIC COSMOS D Probert · C H Yip 9 120.0 34

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LESLIE2. SHANGHAI STYLE+0.5L3. YOUTH POWER+1.25L4. GLORIOUS JOURNEY+1.25L5. CALIFORNIA STAR+1.25L6. YODA'S CHOICE+2.25L7. MEEPMEEP+2.5L8. FASHION LEGEND+2.75L9. CHARMING STEED+8.5L10. LUCK IS BACK+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick YODA'S CHOICE (16.8%) finished 6th — the winner LESLIE was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 YODA'S CHOICE 16.8% 5.96 6
2 6 FASHION LEGEND 16.5% 6.06 8
3 4 SHANGHAI STYLE 10.1% 9.93 2
4 11 YOUTH POWER 8.7% 11.44 3
5 7 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 8.3% 12.06 4
6 1 LUCK IS BACK 8.1% 12.33 10
7 8 CALIFORNIA STAR 7.0% 14.21 5
8 14 MEEPMEEP 5.1% 19.45 7
9 2 PRESTIGE RICKY 4.9% 20.42 12
10 5 CHARMING STEED 4.7% 21.41 9
11 13 LESLIE 3.6% 27.55 1
12 10 SPEEDY TRIDENT 3.6% 28.04 13
13 3 SEA CHARIOT 1.6% 61.60 11
14 9 MAGIC COSMOS 0.9% 106.86 14
YODA'S CHOICEFASHION LEGENDSHANGHAI STYLEYOUTH POWERGLORIOUS JOURNEYLUCK IS BACKCALIFORNIA STARMEEPMEEPPRESTIGE RICKYCHARMING STEEDLESLIE — wonSPEEDY TRIDENTSEA CHARIOTMAGIC COSMOS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 143.5

PLACE

4 28

11 46.5

13 35

QUINELLA

4,13 498.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,11 181

4,13 161.5

11,13 282.5

FORECAST

13,4 1,117

TIERCE

13,4,11 15,101

TRIO

4,11,13 2,215

FIRST 4

4,7,11,13 4,382

QUARTET

13,4,11,7 129,294

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,11/4,11,13 656,286

5TH DOUBLE

3/4 65.5

3/13 1,152.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,3,6/2,3,11/Any Combination 36,609