Sha Tin · 2025-10-30 · 20:46
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RELIABLE PROFIT Closed strongly 1:50.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 4.7 | — |
| 2 | 6 | VIVA TASTE Closed strongly M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 7 | 81.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 5 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 4 | 8.7 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | MEGA FORCE Closed strongly L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 13 | 44.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 3 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | KASA PAPA A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.8 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | GALE SAGA P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | DILBAGH Closed strongly R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 8 | 40.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER SICARIO Led early K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 1 | 4.6 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | YOUNG BRILLIANT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 6 | 21.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | DASHING DRAGON Closed strongly D Probert · D A Hayes | D Probert | D A Hayes | 12 | 70.0 | 17-3/4 |
| — | 9 | SIGHT SUPREME A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | — | 12.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-30 was Class 4 over 1800m. RELIABLE PROFIT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won, with VIVA TASTE second and SUPREME AGILITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite SUPREME AGILITY finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER SICARIO | 24.2% | 4.14 | 10 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPREME AGILITY | 20.7% | 4.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 11.3% | 8.83 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 11.2% | 8.90 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | KASA PAPA | 9.3% | 10.71 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | GALE SAGA | 7.9% | 12.59 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | SOARING BRONCO | 4.8% | 20.92 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 3.1% | 32.28 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | DILBAGH | 2.6% | 38.72 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | DASHING DRAGON | 1.8% | 54.59 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | MEGA FORCE | 1.8% | 55.37 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | VIVA TASTE | 1.2% | 82.26 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 47
PLACE
1 19.5
3 16.5
6 192
QUINELLA
1,6 2,159.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 50
1,6 636.5
3,6 632
FORECAST
1,6 2,676
TIERCE
1,6,3 17,110
TRIO
1,3,6 2,564
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 4,627
QUARTET
1,6,3,5 137,321
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
9,11,12/1,3,6 237,344
3RD DOUBLE
9/1 235
9/6 1,480