Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-10-30 · 11:20

Race 1

Class 5 1650m 12 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-30 was Class 5 over 1650m. NIGHT PUROSANGUE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D A Hayes, won, with COURIER MAGIC second and FOREMOST TEDDY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:41.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 NIGHT PUROSANGUE Closed strongly 1:41.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D A Hayes 9 1.9
2 4 COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly C L Chau · K L Man 10 6.5 SH
3 7 FOREMOST TEDDY J Orman · C S Shum 7 11.0 1-1/4
4 10 EURO ROCKS Closed strongly H Bentley · C H Yip 3 12.0 1-1/2
5 11 GO GO GO Closed strongly D Probert · W Y So 6 17.0 1-3/4
6 5 YEE CHEONG RAIDER Closed strongly H Bowman · J Richards 8 25.0 3-1/2
7 9 ALL EYES ON ME Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang 11 100.0 5
8 1 PERPETUAL POWER Closed strongly E C W Wong · C W Chang 4 64.0 5-1/2
9 13 BRAVE OF FRIENDS R Kingscote · D J Whyte 1 23.0 6-1/4
10 12 HARRY'S HERO K Teetan · P F Yiu 12 27.0 9
11 8 SILVER KING M Chadwick · F C Lor 5 14.0 11-1/2
12 2 VIEW ALL THINGS Led early Z Purton · W K Mo 2 8.8 16-3/4
6 RUN YES RUN K De Melo · W Y So

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. NIGHT PUROSANGUE2. COURIER MAGIC+0.1L3. FOREMOST TEDDY+1.25L4. EURO ROCKS+1.5L5. GO GO GO+1.75L6. YEE CHEONG RAIDER+3.5L7. ALL EYES ON ME+5L8. PERPETUAL POWER+5.5L9. BRAVE OF FRIENDS+6.25L10. HARRY'S HERO+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NIGHT PUROSANGUE (24.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 NIGHT PUROSANGUE 24.4% 4.11 1
2 2 VIEW ALL THINGS 15.9% 6.29 12
3 10 EURO ROCKS 13.2% 7.55 4
4 4 COURIER MAGIC 11.7% 8.53 2
5 11 GO GO GO 7.9% 12.63 5
6 5 YEE CHEONG RAIDER 5.4% 18.65 6
7 12 HARRY'S HERO 5.1% 19.77 10
8 13 BRAVE OF FRIENDS 4.7% 21.13 9
9 7 FOREMOST TEDDY 4.5% 22.04 3
10 1 PERPETUAL POWER 3.4% 29.58 8
11 8 SILVER KING 2.2% 44.48 11
12 9 ALL EYES ON ME 1.6% 64.25 7
NIGHT PUROSANGUE — wonVIEW ALL THINGSEURO ROCKSCOURIER MAGICGO GO GOYEE CHEONG RAIDERHARRY'S HEROBRAVE OF FRIENDSFOREMOST TEDDYPERPETUAL POWERSILVER KINGALL EYES ON ME

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 19.5

PLACE

3 12

4 19.5

7 26

QUINELLA

3,4 70.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 30.5

3,7 46

4,7 96.5

FORECAST

3,4 104

TIERCE

3,4,7 626

TRIO

3,4,7 212

FIRST 4

3,4,7,10 308

QUARTET

3,4,7,10 3,230