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Sha Tin · 2025-10-30 · 14:20

Race 7

Class 3 1200m 12 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-30 was Class 3 over 1200m. SUPER JOY N FUN, ridden by A Badel and trained by C W Chang, won, with KEMPES second and FUN N FUN TOGETHER third. The 4.6 favourite KEMPES finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:09.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 SUPER JOY N FUN 1:09.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C W Chang 6 17.0
2 6 KEMPES A Atzeni · D J Hall 11 4.6 1-3/4
3 7 FUN N FUN TOGETHER M F Poon · F C Lor 2 6.1 2
4 4 MUST GO B Avdulla · J Size 8 9.3 2
5 1 WONDER KIT E C W Wong · K W Lui 4 15.0 2-1/4
6 5 GIANT LEAP R Kingscote · P F Yiu 7 8.3 3-1/2
7 8 GOOD LUCK BABE M Chadwick · A S Cruz 10 9.4 4-3/4
8 3 LUCY IN THE SKY J Orman · Y S Tsui 1 14.0 5-1/4
9 11 FATAL BLOW L Hewitson · M Newnham 9 4.6 7-1/4
10 12 THE REVOLUTION K Teetan · P C Ng 12 23.0 7-1/4
11 9 CAMP LAND P N Wong · J Richards 3 81.0 24-3/4
12 2 DRAGON FOUR SEAS H Bowman · K L Man 5 21.0 25

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER JOY N FUN2. KEMPES+1.75L3. FUN N FUN TOGETHER+2L4. MUST GO+2L5. WONDER KIT+2.25L6. GIANT LEAP+3.5L7. GOOD LUCK BABE+4.75L8. LUCY IN THE SKY+5.25L9. FATAL BLOW+7.25L10. THE REVOLUTION+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LUCY IN THE SKY (18.1%) finished 8th — the winner SUPER JOY N FUN was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 LUCY IN THE SKY 18.1% 5.52 8
2 7 FUN N FUN TOGETHER 14.7% 6.82 3
3 8 GOOD LUCK BABE 13.5% 7.43 7
4 6 KEMPES 7.9% 12.63 2
5 5 GIANT LEAP 7.7% 13.00 6
6 11 FATAL BLOW 7.4% 13.53 9
7 4 MUST GO 6.8% 14.77 4
8 1 WONDER KIT 6.8% 14.80 5
9 10 SUPER JOY N FUN 5.4% 18.43 1
10 2 DRAGON FOUR SEAS 5.3% 18.80 12
11 12 THE REVOLUTION 4.4% 22.48 10
12 9 CAMP LAND 2.0% 48.80 11
LUCY IN THE SKYFUN N FUN TOGETHERGOOD LUCK BABEKEMPESGIANT LEAPFATAL BLOWMUST GOWONDER KITSUPER JOY N FUN — wonDRAGON FOUR SEASTHE REVOLUTIONCAMP LAND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 178

PLACE

6 19.5

7 22.5

10 48

QUINELLA

6,10 409

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 69.5

6,10 142.5

7,10 170

FORECAST

10,6 1,040

TIERCE

10,6,7 9,802

TRIO

6,7,10 1,036

FIRST 4

4,6,7,10 1,767

QUARTET

10,6,7,4 64,418

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

13/6 222

13/10 2,159.5