沙田 · 2025-10-30 · 12:20
第 3場
2025-10-30沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由M Chadwick策騎、W Y So訓練的HINOKAMI KAGURA勝出。NO OTHER CHOICE獲得亞軍；HE WAS YOU獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門HE WAS YOU跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HINOKAMI KAGURA 1:10.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 8.2 | — |
| 2 | 12 | NO OTHER CHOICE M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 12 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | HE WAS YOU Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 6 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | DR GOLDEN GENERAL B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 70.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NEW POWER E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 4 | 9.2 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | BEAUTY THUNDER H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 11 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | DASH D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 9 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | GIMME FIVE K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | MARVEL AND GOLD A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 47.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | IMPENDING LEGACY A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 10.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | WATCH THIS ONE L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 2 | 7.4 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WATCH THIS ONE | 20.6% | 4.85 | 12 |
| 2 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION | 16.1% | 6.21 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | HE WAS YOU | 12.5% | 8.01 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 10.0% | 10.03 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | GIMME FIVE | 9.4% | 10.65 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 8.0% | 12.56 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | IMPENDING LEGACY | 7.8% | 12.89 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | NEW POWER | 7.7% | 12.95 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | NO OTHER CHOICE | 3.7% | 27.10 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | DASH | 1.8% | 55.32 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 1.5% | 64.62 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | DR GOLDEN GENERAL | 0.9% | 105.43 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 82.5
PLACE
9 21.5
11 15
12 42.5
QUINELLA
9,12 712.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 52
9,12 160
11,12 84.5
FORECAST
9,12 1,455
TIERCE
9,12,11 5,762
TRIO
9,11,12 686
FIRST 4
9,10,11,12 985
QUARTET
9,12,11,10 35,952
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
3/9 367
3/12 363.5