沙田 · 2025-10-30 · 14:55
第 8場
2025-10-30沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1650米。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的NEW FOREST勝出。MOJAVE DESERT獲得亞軍；ARIEL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門MR ENERGIA跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NEW FOREST 後段發力 1:39.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 13 | 7.6 | — |
| 2 | 4 | MOJAVE DESERT 後段發力 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 11 | 5.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | ARIEL E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 1 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | TURIN MASCOT 後段發力 J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 6 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | KARMA 後段發力 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NOISY BOY 後段發力 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 9 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | PRECISION GOAL 早段領放 P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 14 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | TOURBILLON PRINCE B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 10 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | CHILL KAKA R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 8 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | MR ENERGIA Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 2.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | YOUNG ACHIEVER 後段發力 H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 12 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | HARMONY GALAXY M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | NEVER PETER OUT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 3 | 24.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | TALENTS TRUMP D Probert · F C Lor | D Probert | F C Lor | 5 | 52.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MR ENERGIA | 42.9% | 2.33 | 10 |
| 2 | 14 | PRECISION GOAL | 8.9% | 11.24 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | ARIEL | 6.5% | 15.48 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | MOJAVE DESERT | 5.9% | 16.94 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | NEW FOREST | 5.5% | 18.04 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | KARMA | 4.7% | 21.45 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | NEVER PETER OUT | 4.4% | 22.54 | 13 |
| 8 | 9 | CHILL KAKA | 3.9% | 25.55 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | YOUNG ACHIEVER | 3.7% | 26.68 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | TURIN MASCOT | 3.2% | 31.38 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | NOISY BOY | 2.9% | 33.92 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | HARMONY GALAXY | 2.8% | 35.36 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | TALENTS TRUMP | 2.5% | 40.12 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 2.1% | 47.85 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 76.5
PLACE
4 18
8 41
12 27
QUINELLA
4,12 234.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 122.5
4,12 78.5
8,12 154
FORECAST
12,4 501
TIERCE
12,4,8 5,032
TRIO
4,8,12 963
FIRST 4
4,7,8,12 3,697
QUARTET
12,4,8,7 81,594
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
13/10/4 3,050
13/10/12 24,490
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,10/4,8,12 156,537
7TH DOUBLE
10/4 257.5
10/12 2,395.5
SIX UP
9,12/1,6/2,3/4,13/6,10/4,12 247,954
12 [M F Poon] —
3 [M Newnham] —