沙田 · 2025-10-30 · 13:20
第 5場
2025-10-30沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由H Bowman策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的VULCANUS勝出。FORTUNE WHISKEY獲得亞軍；GLACIATED獲得季軍。4.7倍大熱門DAILY TROPHY跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | VULCANUS 1:10.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 8 | 6.6 | — |
| 2 | 2 | FORTUNE WHISKEY E C W Wong · D Eustace | E C W Wong | D Eustace | 9 | 42.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | GLACIATED K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | WINNING MACHINE H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 5 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY ACTION M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | KNOW AT HEART M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | LOVING VIBES C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | GIDDY UP A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 7 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | EVERYONE'S GALLOP C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 91.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | DAILY TROPHY L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 11 | 4.7 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | FORTUNE WARRIOR Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 4 | 19.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | HONG KONG HALL P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 12 | 10.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DAILY TROPHY | 20.1% | 4.98 | 10 |
| 2 | 11 | GLACIATED | 16.2% | 6.18 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | KNOW AT HEART | 11.5% | 8.67 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | LOVING VIBES | 9.8% | 10.26 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | WINNING MACHINE | 9.1% | 11.00 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | VULCANUS | 7.8% | 12.78 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | GIDDY UP | 6.3% | 15.95 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY ACTION | 5.3% | 18.74 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 4.3% | 22.99 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | HONG KONG HALL | 3.9% | 25.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 3.8% | 26.09 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | EVERYONE'S GALLOP | 1.9% | 52.98 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 66
PLACE
2 99.5
3 21
11 20.5
QUINELLA
2,3 992.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 260.5
2,11 375.5
3,11 68.5
FORECAST
3,2 1,554
TIERCE
3,2,11 11,435
TRIO
2,3,11 1,981
FIRST 4
2,3,11,12 2,859
QUARTET
3,2,11,12 103,343
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
9/1/2 2,846
9/1/3 1,700
4TH DOUBLE
1/2 393
1/3 330.5