沙田 · 2026-07-04 · 13:20
THE LEE TROPHY (HANDICAP)
第 11場
2026-07-04沙田第11場「THE LEE TROPHY (HANDICAP)」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由C L Chau策騎、P F Yiu訓練的CHILL EASY勝出。ENDEARED獲得亞軍；TANG HEART獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHILL EASY 後段發力 CP 1:22.01 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 14 | 2.7 | — |
| 2 | 5 | ENDEARED 後段發力 XB H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | TANG HEART TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 5.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH 後段發力 B K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 11 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | GREATER BAE B/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 1 | 7.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SAVVY BRILLIANT 後段發力 XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | ALL'S WELL 後段發力 TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 2 | 4.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TRUE BROTHERS 早段領放 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 94.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | SONIC LINER J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 4 | 37.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SUGAR GOODSON 後段發力 TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 47.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | HIGH PRAISE CP1/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 12 | 154.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | STAY COSMIC B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 5 | 38.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | KING MILES B/TT E Brown · K W Lui | E Brown | K W Lui | 8 | 43.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | WITHOUT RHYME CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 199.0 | 17-1/4 |
| — | 0 | PERFECTDAY B/TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | KEMPES · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TANG HEART | 28.8% | 3.48 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | CHILL EASY | 13.9% | 7.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | ALL'S WELL | 11.2% | 8.91 | 7 |
| 4 | 13 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH | 11.0% | 9.08 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 10.0% | 10.01 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | ENDEARED | 5.7% | 17.41 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | GREATER BAE | 4.7% | 21.06 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | SUGAR GOODSON | 3.2% | 31.47 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | SONIC LINER | 2.9% | 34.44 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | STAY COSMIC | 2.8% | 35.75 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | KING MILES | 2.6% | 38.50 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | TRUE BROTHERS | 1.2% | 85.36 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | HIGH PRAISE | 1.0% | 97.71 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | WITHOUT RHYME | 1.0% | 102.02 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 27.5
PLACE
1 14
5 28
11 19
QUINELLA
1,5 122.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 44
1,11 40
5,11 96
FORECAST
1,5 182
TIERCE
1,5,11 869
TRIO
1,5,11 206
FIRST 4
1,5,11,13 761
QUARTET
1,5,11,13 9,482
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
7/1 232.5
7/5 114
2ND TREBLE
3/7/1 330
3/7/5 281
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,12/1,5,11 1,893
SIX UP
6,7/5,12/6,9/3,6/6,7/1,5 1,282
7/5/6/3/7/1 55,670
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [P F Yiu] —