沙田 · 2026-07-04 · 11:10
THE STEVENSON CUP (HANDICAP)
第 7場
2026-07-04沙田第7場「THE STEVENSON CUP (HANDICAP)」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由A Atzeni策騎、P C Ng訓練的HEALTHY HEALTHY勝出。RIDING HIGH獲得亞軍；GROUPER獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門GROUPER跑獲第3名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B-/PC2 1:10.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 2 | 7.7 | — |
| 2 | 12 | RIDING HIGH CP L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.5 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | GROUPER B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | LEAN ERA XB1 C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 12 | 63.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | PRIVATE WEALTH XB1 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 5 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | RUSSET GLOW B/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 9 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | KOL M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | ONESHOT CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 3 | 9.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | DASHING PEACH B R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 11 | 45.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | A TIME FOR US B/TT E Brown · K W Lui | E Brown | K W Lui | 6 | 6.9 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | RUN RUN SUNRISE H/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 18.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | MAJESTIC LIFE TT · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | DAILY ACCLAIM XB-/P1 · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 3 | ONE MORE SR/TT L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GROUPER | 34.1% | 2.94 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | RIDING HIGH | 15.4% | 6.48 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | A TIME FOR US | 10.2% | 9.78 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | ONESHOT | 9.2% | 10.82 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 8.4% | 11.96 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | RUN RUN SUNRISE | 8.3% | 12.05 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | LEAN ERA | 4.2% | 23.98 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | PRIVATE WEALTH | 3.8% | 26.10 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | RUSSET GLOW | 2.8% | 36.11 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | DASHING PEACH | 2.1% | 48.60 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | KOL | 1.5% | 64.71 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 77.5
PLACE
5 21.5
6 14
12 14.5
QUINELLA
5,12 129
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 50
5,12 50.5
6,12 25
FORECAST
5,12 366
TIERCE
5,12,6 1,281
TRIO
5,6,12 131
FIRST 4
5,6,7,12 1,164
QUARTET
5,12,6,7 23,595
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,11/5>3,6,12 64,363
6TH DOUBLE
7/5 512.5
7/12 38
TRIPLE TRIO
4,11,13/6,7,11/5>3,6,12 1,259,378
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,11,13/6,7,11/Any Combination 25,187