沙田 · 2026-07-04 · 12:10
THE CHOW SILVER PLATE (HANDICAP)
第 9場
2026-07-04沙田第9場「THE CHOW SILVER PLATE (HANDICAP)」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的LUCRATIVE EIGHT勝出。ROAD TO GLORY獲得亞軍；ISLAND BUDDY獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCRATIVE EIGHT TT 1:09.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 1 | 1.6 | — |
| 2 | 6 | ROAD TO GLORY B1 A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 8 | 111.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | ISLAND BUDDY CP-/V2 K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | LEADING DRAGON TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 8.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | NEXT FORTUNE TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 8.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ORIGIN OF FORM CP/TT R Kingscote · F C Lor | R Kingscote | F C Lor | 12 | 154.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | BEST FARM M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 3 | 177.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | DIAMOND SPARKLE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 97.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | MABUBU TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 2 | 8.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SMILING SKY K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | SIGHT DREAMER TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | KING OBERON B · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | RISING ELITE B/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCRATIVE EIGHT | 43.1% | 2.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | LEADING DRAGON | 13.6% | 7.36 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | SMILING SKY | 12.2% | 8.21 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | NEXT FORTUNE | 6.0% | 16.59 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | ISLAND BUDDY | 5.7% | 17.47 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | MABUBU | 4.7% | 21.31 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | SIGHT DREAMER | 4.3% | 23.52 | 12 |
| 8 | 12 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA | 3.1% | 32.56 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | ROAD TO GLORY | 2.7% | 36.57 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | DIAMOND SPARKLE | 2.2% | 44.81 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | ORIGIN OF FORM | 1.5% | 68.62 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | BEST FARM | 1.0% | 104.74 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 16
PLACE
1 32
3 10.5
6 195
QUINELLA
3,6 727.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 38.5
1,6 1,079.5
3,6 235.5
FORECAST
3,6 833
TIERCE
3,6,1 6,693
TRIO
1,3,6 1,872
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 1,558
QUARTET
3,6,1,5 29,168
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,9/1,3,6 295,099
8TH DOUBLE
6/3 60
6/6 617.5