沙田 · 2026-07-04 · 10:40
THE CHAN TROPHY (HANDICAP)
第 6場
2026-07-04沙田第6場「THE CHAN TROPHY (HANDICAP)」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為WET FAST。由B Avdulla策騎、D A Hayes訓練的BUSTLING CITY勝出。BRIGHT MORTAR獲得亞軍；DAY DAY VICTORY獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門PEJIBAYE跑獲第11名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BUSTLING CITY 1:08.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | BRIGHT MORTAR B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | DAY DAY VICTORY A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 3 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 8.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | NOBLE PATCH CP1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 5 | 47.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | E HO HO B2/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 12 | 24.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GOOD CHAP B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 7 | 16.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FATAL BLOW V-/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 9 | 15.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | NATURAL HIGH V H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 2 | 38.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | DAILY FUN H1/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 18.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | PEJIBAYE PC/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 3.1 | 18-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | TIN FOOK CP L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.5 | 20-3/4 |
| WV | 0 | EVERSTAR CP2 · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STAR ELEGANCE B/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PEJIBAYE | 26.4% | 3.79 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | BUSTLING CITY | 14.4% | 6.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | TIN FOOK | 12.2% | 8.17 | 12 |
| 4 | 8 | DAILY FUN | 11.7% | 8.57 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | GOOD CHAP | 10.7% | 9.37 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 6.1% | 16.36 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 4.2% | 23.84 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | BRIGHT MORTAR | 3.7% | 27.05 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | FATAL BLOW | 3.1% | 31.78 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | NATURAL HIGH | 2.5% | 39.45 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | NOBLE PATCH | 2.5% | 40.00 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | E HO HO | 2.5% | 40.46 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 40.5
PLACE
6 77
7 15
11 41
QUINELLA
6,7 853.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 247
6,11 672
7,11 86
FORECAST
7,6 1,354
TIERCE
7,6,11 16,505
TRIO
6,7,11 3,515
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 4,610
QUARTET
7,6,11,2 87,669
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
11/6 742.5
11/7 894