Sha Tin · 2026-07-04 · 10:40
THE CHAN TROPHY (HANDICAP)
Race 6
Race 6 ("THE CHAN TROPHY (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on WET FAST going. BUSTLING CITY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D A Hayes, won, with BRIGHT MORTAR second and DAY DAY VICTORY third. The 3.1 favourite PEJIBAYE finished 11th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BUSTLING CITY 1:08.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | BRIGHT MORTAR B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | DAY DAY VICTORY A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 3 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 8.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | NOBLE PATCH CP1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 5 | 47.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | E HO HO B2/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 12 | 24.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GOOD CHAP B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 7 | 16.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FATAL BLOW V-/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 9 | 15.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | NATURAL HIGH V H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 2 | 38.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | DAILY FUN H1/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 18.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | PEJIBAYE PC/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 3.1 | 18-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | TIN FOOK CP L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.5 | 20-3/4 |
| WV | 0 | EVERSTAR CP2 · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STAR ELEGANCE B/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PEJIBAYE | 26.4% | 3.79 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | BUSTLING CITY | 14.4% | 6.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | TIN FOOK | 12.2% | 8.17 | 12 |
| 4 | 8 | DAILY FUN | 11.7% | 8.57 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | GOOD CHAP | 10.7% | 9.37 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 6.1% | 16.36 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 4.2% | 23.84 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | BRIGHT MORTAR | 3.7% | 27.05 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | FATAL BLOW | 3.1% | 31.78 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | NATURAL HIGH | 2.5% | 39.45 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | NOBLE PATCH | 2.5% | 40.00 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | E HO HO | 2.5% | 40.46 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 40.5
PLACE
6 77
7 15
11 41
QUINELLA
6,7 853.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 247
6,11 672
7,11 86
FORECAST
7,6 1,354
TIERCE
7,6,11 16,505
TRIO
6,7,11 3,515
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 4,610
QUARTET
7,6,11,2 87,669
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
11/6 742.5
11/7 894