Sha Tin · 2026-07-04 · 08:30
THE SWAINE CUP (HANDICAP)
Race 2
Race 2 ("THE SWAINE CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-04 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. NOBLE FANS, ridden by E Brown and trained by J Size, won, with MR GOOD VIBES second and VERBIER third. The 1.8 favourite VERBIER finished 3rd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | NOBLE FANS B/TT 1:10.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E Brown · J Size | E Brown | J Size | 4 | 21.0 | — |
| 2 | 11 | MR GOOD VIBES B K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 45.0 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | VERBIER J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 1.8 | N |
| 4 | 1 | MADE FOR LIFE CP/TT R Kingscote · M Newnham | R Kingscote | M Newnham | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | PERIDOT H/P/TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 12 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPREME WINNER CP/SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | BLUE BARON L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 2 | 5.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MONEY TYCOON C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 108.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | GROOVY FEELING CP/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 9 | 29.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPARKLE AND GOLD B-/TT- K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 68.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MULTIDUTCH B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 28.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | DOUBLE BINGO · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VERBIER | 49.1% | 2.04 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | BLUE BARON | 10.0% | 10.04 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPREME WINNER | 8.0% | 12.43 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | PERIDOT | 6.6% | 15.09 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | NOBLE FANS | 5.3% | 18.78 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 5.0% | 19.87 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | MULTIDUTCH | 3.7% | 27.18 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | GROOVY FEELING | 2.9% | 34.42 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | MADE FOR LIFE | 2.9% | 34.77 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SPARKLE AND GOLD | 2.8% | 35.52 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | MR GOOD VIBES | 2.0% | 51.07 | 2 |
| 12 | 6 | MONEY TYCOON | 1.7% | 58.20 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 210
PLACE
5 11
9 39.5
11 92.5
QUINELLA
9,11 3,306.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 52
5,11 152.5
9,11 839.5
FORECAST
9,11 7,421
TIERCE
9,11,5 15,826
TRIO
5,9,11 1,581
FIRST 4
1,5,9,11 2,876
QUARTET
9,11,5,1 100,877
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/9 1,060.5
2/11 406.5