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Sha Tin · 2026-07-04 · 11:10

THE STEVENSON CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1200m Course C+3 11 runners

Race 7 ("THE STEVENSON CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. HEALTHY HEALTHY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won, with RIDING HIGH second and GROUPER third. The 3.0 favourite GROUPER finished 3rd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 9.0 #3 ONE MORE — Code 92

Result

Official · 1:10.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 HEALTHY HEALTHY B-/PC2 1:10.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng 2 7.7
2 12 RIDING HIGH CP L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 3.5 SH
3 6 GROUPER B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 8 3.0 3/4
4 7 LEAN ERA XB1 C L Chau · D Eustace 12 63.0 1-1/2
5 8 PRIVATE WEALTH XB1 J Orman · D J Hall 5 21.0 1-3/4
6 11 RUSSET GLOW B/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham 9 21.0 3-1/2
7 10 KOL M L Yeung · D A Hayes 7 28.0 4
8 2 ONESHOT CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 3 9.5 5-3/4
9 9 DASHING PEACH B R Kingscote · C W Chang 11 45.0 6
10 4 A TIME FOR US B/TT E Brown · K W Lui 6 6.9 10-3/4
11 1 RUN RUN SUNRISE H/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 10 18.0 13
0 MAJESTIC LIFE TT · C H Yip
0 DAILY ACCLAIM XB-/P1 · C Fownes
3 ONE MORE SR/TT L Ferraris · Y S Tsui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HEALTHY HEALTHY2. RIDING HIGH+0.1L3. GROUPER+0.75L4. LEAN ERA+1.5L5. PRIVATE WEALTH+1.75L6. RUSSET GLOW+3.5L7. KOL+4L8. ONESHOT+5.75L9. DASHING PEACH+6L10. A TIME FOR US+10.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GROUPER (34.1%) finished 3rd — the winner HEALTHY HEALTHY was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 GROUPER 34.1% 2.94 3
2 12 RIDING HIGH 15.4% 6.48 2
3 4 A TIME FOR US 10.2% 9.78 10
4 2 ONESHOT 9.2% 10.82 8
5 5 HEALTHY HEALTHY 8.4% 11.96 1
6 1 RUN RUN SUNRISE 8.3% 12.05 11
7 7 LEAN ERA 4.2% 23.98 4
8 8 PRIVATE WEALTH 3.8% 26.10 5
9 11 RUSSET GLOW 2.8% 36.11 6
10 9 DASHING PEACH 2.1% 48.60 9
11 10 KOL 1.5% 64.71 7
GROUPERRIDING HIGHA TIME FOR USONESHOTHEALTHY HEALTHY — wonRUN RUN SUNRISELEAN ERAPRIVATE WEALTHRUSSET GLOWDASHING PEACHKOL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 77.5

PLACE

5 21.5

6 14

12 14.5

QUINELLA

5,12 129

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 50

5,12 50.5

6,12 25

FORECAST

5,12 366

TIERCE

5,12,6 1,281

TRIO

5,6,12 131

FIRST 4

5,6,7,12 1,164

QUARTET

5,12,6,7 23,595

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

6,7,11/5>3,6,12 64,363

6TH DOUBLE

7/5 512.5

7/12 38

TRIPLE TRIO

4,11,13/6,7,11/5>3,6,12 1,259,378

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,11,13/6,7,11/Any Combination 25,187