Sha Tin · 2026-07-04 · 10:10
THE ARCULLI TROPHY (HANDICAP)
Race 5
Race 5 ("THE ARCULLI TROPHY (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-04 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. GRACEFUL HEART, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won, with SUNDAY'S SERENADE second and QUICK CONTRIBUTION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite QUICK CONTRIBUTION finished 3rd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GRACEFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/XB 1:22.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 20.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 5 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 2.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | ROBOT STAR Closed strongly B P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 7 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | GOLDEN EMPIRE Closed strongly CP C L Chau · B Crawford | C L Chau | B Crawford | 14 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | M M CONCORD Led early B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 3.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY DOCTOR TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 2 | 69.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 13 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | LET'S HAVE FUN Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 8 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | GLORIOUS RYDER B Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 4 | 92.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 6 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | DECISION LINK V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 7.8 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | WORD OF KINDNESS TT E Brown · C S Shum | E Brown | C S Shum | 9 | 42.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | CORNERSTONE CP/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 115.0 | 19-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FIGHTING MACHINE SR-/B/TT1 · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | VOLCANIC SPARK B · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION | 23.5% | 4.25 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | DECISION LINK | 22.1% | 4.52 | 12 |
| 3 | 1 | ROBOT STAR | 8.4% | 11.95 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | M M CONCORD | 8.3% | 12.00 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | LET'S HAVE FUN | 7.9% | 12.65 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 7.0% | 14.32 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | GRACEFUL HEART | 4.4% | 22.54 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES | 4.0% | 25.02 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST | 3.5% | 28.42 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 3.0% | 33.89 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | WORD OF KINDNESS | 2.1% | 46.77 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | GLORIOUS RYDER | 2.1% | 46.89 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | CORNERSTONE | 2.0% | 49.33 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | LUCKY DOCTOR | 1.6% | 64.49 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 209
PLACE
4 34
11 47.5
13 13
QUINELLA
4,11 1,567
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 417.5
4,13 68.5
11,13 84.5
FORECAST
11,4 3,359
TIERCE
11,4,13 12,616
TRIO
4,11,13 980
FIRST 4
1,4,11,13 3,928
QUARTET
11,4,13,1 161,227
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/4/4 857
3/4/11 9,472
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,6/4,11,13 35,596
4TH DOUBLE
4/4 54
4/11 444.5