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Sha Tin · 2026-07-04 · 08:00

THE PURVES QUAICH (PLATE)

Race 1

Griffin Race GOOD TO YIELDING 1200m Course C+3 10 runners

Race 1 ("THE PURVES QUAICH (PLATE)") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-04 was Griffin Race over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. ALMIGHTY WARRIOR, ridden by E Brown and trained by K W Lui, won, with JEDI SPURS second and QUANTUM WUKONG third. The 1.1 favourite JEDI SPURS finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 9.0

Result

Official · 1:09.71
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 ALMIGHTY WARRIOR XB 1:09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E Brown · K W Lui 2 7.8
2 1 JEDI SPURS B Avdulla · D A Hayes 1 1.1 3-3/4
3 9 QUANTUM WUKONG TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 5 15.0 4
4 3 CHANCHENG SPARKLE C L Chau · K W Lui 9 25.0 5
5 5 DRAGON GENERATION TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 3 62.0 7
6 8 EVER WEALTH A Atzeni · P F Yiu 7 19.0 8
7 6 GOLDEN GUNNERS TT J Moreira · C Fownes 4 52.0 9-3/4
8 4 COOGEE BAY K Teetan · P C Ng 8 131.0 11-1/4
9 7 KYOTO SPRING XB K C Leung · C W Chang 6 104.0 14-1/4
10 10 ULTRA BOLT M Chadwick · C H Yip 10 56.0 14-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALMIGHTY WARRIOR2. JEDI SPURS+3.75L3. QUANTUM WUKONG+4L4. CHANCHENG SPARKLE+5L5. DRAGON GENERATION+7L6. EVER WEALTH+8L7. GOLDEN GUNNERS+9.75L8. COOGEE BAY+11.25L9. KYOTO SPRING+14.25L10. ULTRA BOLT+14.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick JEDI SPURS (48.0%) finished 2nd — the winner ALMIGHTY WARRIOR was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 JEDI SPURS 48.0% 2.08 2
2 9 QUANTUM WUKONG 14.9% 6.73 3
3 8 EVER WEALTH 11.2% 8.96 6
4 2 ALMIGHTY WARRIOR 10.5% 9.57 1
5 3 CHANCHENG SPARKLE 7.3% 13.63 4
6 10 ULTRA BOLT 2.5% 40.40 10
7 6 GOLDEN GUNNERS 1.9% 52.80 7
8 5 DRAGON GENERATION 1.7% 58.66 5
9 4 COOGEE BAY 1.1% 87.50 8
10 7 KYOTO SPRING 0.9% 105.94 9
JEDI SPURSQUANTUM WUKONGEVER WEALTHALMIGHTY WARRIOR — wonCHANCHENG SPARKLEULTRA BOLTGOLDEN GUNNERSDRAGON GENERATIONCOOGEE BAYKYOTO SPRING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 78

PLACE

1 10.1

2 15

9 19

QUINELLA

1,2 22

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 13.5

1,9 19.5

2,9 30

FORECAST

2,1 109

TIERCE

2,1,9 349

TRIO

1,2,9 36

FIRST 4

1,2,3,9 49

QUARTET

2,1,9,3 1,199