Sha Tin · 2026-07-04 · 12:45
THE PHILIP CHEN TROPHY (HANDICAP)
Race 10
Race 10 ("THE PHILIP CHEN TROPHY (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-04 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SOLID STATE, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won, with SUPERB SPIRIT second and SPICY STANDARD third. The 1.9 favourite SUPERB SPIRIT finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SOLID STATE CP-/XB-/TT 1:08.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 7.5 | — |
| 2 | 6 | SUPERB SPIRIT XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 4 | 1.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SPICY STANDARD A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 4.0 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | PERFECT GENERAL TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 9.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | ALL OUT FOR SIX L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | GULU GOGO K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 10 | 54.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | GRAND EAGLE XB-/TT E Brown · D Eustace | E Brown | D Eustace | 3 | 63.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 6 | 24.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | MOUNT EVEREST M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 79.0 | 13 |
| 10 | 5 | RED SEA CP-/TT J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 8 | 21.0 | 14 |
| 11 | 10 | VULCANUS B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 79.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | IGOR STRAVINSKY V-/B2/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 79.0 | 21-1/4 |
| — | 0 | LOVE ESPRESSO · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GUMMY GUMMY CP/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPERB SPIRIT | 48.8% | 2.05 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | PERFECT GENERAL | 13.9% | 7.17 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | SOLID STATE | 8.4% | 11.91 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | GULU GOGO | 5.5% | 18.23 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | SPICY STANDARD | 5.5% | 18.31 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | ALL OUT FOR SIX | 3.8% | 26.10 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | RED SEA | 3.3% | 30.68 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 3.1% | 31.87 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | VULCANUS | 2.4% | 41.39 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | IGOR STRAVINSKY | 2.0% | 48.97 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | MOUNT EVEREST | 1.6% | 60.82 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | GRAND EAGLE | 1.6% | 61.91 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 75
PLACE
6 11.5
7 20
12 14.5
QUINELLA
6,7 59
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 27
6,12 19
7,12 39.5
FORECAST
7,6 188
TIERCE
7,6,12 578
TRIO
6,7,12 67
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 107
QUARTET
7,6,12,1 2,745
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
3/6 10.5
3/7 87.5