Sha Tin · 2026-07-04 · 19:40
THE IP JUG (HANDICAP)
Race 8
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VICTOR SUPREME Closed strongly V 1:47.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.7 | — |
| 2 | 9 | FIREFOOT Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 12 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | INNO SUPER Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 13 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly H/P/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 14 | 3.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | I EXCELLE Led early H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 23.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | GRAND TURBO Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | MR COOL CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 5.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT P N Wong · A S Cruz | P N Wong | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly SR-/B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 82.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | LEAPING STAR CP E Brown · D A Hayes | E Brown | D A Hayes | 11 | 45.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 83.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | SMILING ONE B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 40.0 | 21 |
| 14 | 1 | MISSION GIANT V J Orman · B Crawford | J Orman | B Crawford | 3 | 102.0 | 23-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY YEAR · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 ("THE IP JUG (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-04 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. VICTOR SUPREME, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won, with FIREFOOT second and INNO SUPER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SMART FAT CAT finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VICTOR SUPREME | 24.5% | 4.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | FIREFOOT | 14.7% | 6.81 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | GRAND TURBO | 12.5% | 7.97 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | MR COOL | 9.7% | 10.36 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | SMART FAT CAT | 9.0% | 11.11 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 7.2% | 13.98 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 5.4% | 18.60 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | LEAPING STAR | 3.4% | 29.19 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | SMILING ONE | 2.9% | 34.47 | 13 |
| 10 | 13 | I EXCELLE | 2.8% | 35.73 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | INNO SUPER | 2.7% | 37.32 | 3 |
| 12 | 5 | CELTIC TIMES | 2.1% | 47.75 | 12 |
| 13 | 7 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 1.9% | 52.15 | 10 |
| 14 | 1 | MISSION GIANT | 1.2% | 81.93 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 37.5
PLACE
3 98
6 14.5
9 30
QUINELLA
6,9 205
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 213.5
3,9 506
6,9 65.5
FORECAST
6,9 377
TIERCE
6,9,3 6,302
TRIO
3,6,9 1,942
FIRST 4
3,6,9,10 1,143
QUARTET
6,9,3,10 26,948
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
5/6 323
5/9 127