沙田 · 2026-07-04 · 11:40
THE IP JUG (HANDICAP)
第 8場
2026-07-04沙田第8場「THE IP JUG (HANDICAP)」，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由C Y Ho策騎、P F Yiu訓練的VICTOR SUPREME勝出。FIREFOOT獲得亞軍；INNO SUPER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門SMART FAT CAT跑獲第4名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VICTOR SUPREME 後段發力 V 1:47.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.7 | — |
| 2 | 9 | FIREFOOT 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 12 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | INNO SUPER 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 13 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SMART FAT CAT 後段發力 H/P/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 14 | 3.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPREME MASTERMIND 後段發力 XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | I EXCELLE 早段領放 H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 23.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | GRAND TURBO 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | MR COOL CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 5.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT P N Wong · A S Cruz | P N Wong | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE 後段發力 SR-/B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 82.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | LEAPING STAR CP E Brown · D A Hayes | E Brown | D A Hayes | 11 | 45.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 83.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | SMILING ONE B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 40.0 | 21 |
| 14 | 1 | MISSION GIANT V J Orman · B Crawford | J Orman | B Crawford | 3 | 102.0 | 23-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY YEAR · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VICTOR SUPREME | 24.5% | 4.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | FIREFOOT | 14.7% | 6.81 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | GRAND TURBO | 12.5% | 7.97 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | MR COOL | 9.7% | 10.36 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | SMART FAT CAT | 9.0% | 11.11 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 7.2% | 13.98 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 5.4% | 18.60 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | LEAPING STAR | 3.4% | 29.19 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | SMILING ONE | 2.9% | 34.47 | 13 |
| 10 | 13 | I EXCELLE | 2.8% | 35.73 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | INNO SUPER | 2.7% | 37.32 | 3 |
| 12 | 5 | CELTIC TIMES | 2.1% | 47.75 | 12 |
| 13 | 7 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 1.9% | 52.15 | 10 |
| 14 | 1 | MISSION GIANT | 1.2% | 81.93 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 37.5
PLACE
3 98
6 14.5
9 30
QUINELLA
6,9 205
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 213.5
3,9 506
6,9 65.5
FORECAST
6,9 377
TIERCE
6,9,3 6,302
TRIO
3,6,9 1,942
FIRST 4
3,6,9,10 1,143
QUARTET
6,9,3,10 26,948
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
5/6 323
5/9 127