Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-07-04 · 09:00

THE WONG CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 3

Class 5 WET FAST 1200m 12 runners

Race 3 ("THE WONG CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-04 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on WET FAST going. NOBLE DELUXE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won, with MACANESE MASTER second and VIVA CHALEUR third. The 3.5 favourite VIVA CHALEUR finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 9.0

Result

Official · 1:08.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 NOBLE DELUXE H/P/TT 1:08.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size 7 16.0
2 11 MACANESE MASTER V K Teetan · Y S Tsui 9 8.6 SH
3 12 VIVA CHALEUR B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz 5 3.5 2
4 1 DAILY TROPHY TT J Moreira · C Fownes 1 4.1 2-1/4
5 5 BULLISH PRIDE A Badel · B Crawford 2 12.0 2-1/4
6 9 QUICK MONEY CP-/TT- Y L Chung · C H Yip 4 41.0 5-1/4
7 6 CIRRUS SPEED M F Poon · D J Hall 6 10.0 5-1/2
8 10 YOUNG STRIKER B/TT J Orman · W Y So 3 23.0 7
9 8 HAPPY ACTION B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 8 7.7 7
10 4 ROBOT KNIGHT B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 10 11.0 8-1/4
11 2 FULL OF LAUGHTER B/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang 11 113.0 10
12 7 GIMME FIVE B L Ferraris · F C Lor 12 24.0 16-1/4
0 BRILLIANT FIRE SR/TT · D J Whyte
0 FLYING CHRISTIE V/XB/TT · P C Ng

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. NOBLE DELUXE2. MACANESE MASTER+0.1L3. VIVA CHALEUR+2L4. DAILY TROPHY+2.25L5. BULLISH PRIDE+2.25L6. QUICK MONEY+5.25L7. CIRRUS SPEED+5.5L8. YOUNG STRIKER+7L9. HAPPY ACTION+7L10. ROBOT KNIGHT+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VIVA CHALEUR (25.4%) finished 3rd — the winner NOBLE DELUXE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 VIVA CHALEUR 25.4% 3.93 3
2 8 HAPPY ACTION 14.8% 6.76 9
3 11 MACANESE MASTER 10.7% 9.36 2
4 4 ROBOT KNIGHT 9.5% 10.52 10
5 5 BULLISH PRIDE 9.0% 11.16 5
6 1 DAILY TROPHY 8.7% 11.45 4
7 3 NOBLE DELUXE 6.5% 15.27 1
8 6 CIRRUS SPEED 5.0% 20.00 7
9 7 GIMME FIVE 4.5% 22.40 12
10 9 QUICK MONEY 2.4% 41.73 6
11 10 YOUNG STRIKER 2.0% 49.71 8
12 2 FULL OF LAUGHTER 1.5% 68.05 11
VIVA CHALEURHAPPY ACTIONMACANESE MASTERROBOT KNIGHTBULLISH PRIDEDAILY TROPHYNOBLE DELUXE — wonCIRRUS SPEEDGIMME FIVEQUICK MONEYYOUNG STRIKERFULL OF LAUGHTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 166.5

PLACE

3 56

11 26.5

12 14

QUINELLA

3,11 618

QUINELLA PLACE

3,11 203.5

3,12 126.5

11,12 48

FORECAST

3,11 917

TIERCE

3,11,12 2,978

TRIO

3,11,12 428

FIRST 4

1,3,11,12 415

QUARTET

3,11,12,1 13,872

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

5,9,11/3,11,12 116,259

2ND DOUBLE

9/3 2,469.5

9/11 282.5