沙田 · 2026-07-12 · 08:00
MIRACULOUS HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-07-12沙田第1場「MIRACULOUS HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、B Crawford訓練的BEAUTY MISSILE勝出。DRAGON SUNRISE獲得亞軍；HAILTOTHEVICTORS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.3倍大熱門GOLDEN FORTUNE跑獲第5名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（4）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY MISSILE 後段發力 V 1:47.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · B Crawford | A Badel | B Crawford | 14 | 13.0 | — |
| 2 | 11 | DRAGON SUNRISE 後段發力 B/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 4 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | GOLD TACK 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 7.1 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | GOLDEN FORTUNE B H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY BUDDIES 早段領放 CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 13 | 44.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | HARRY'S HERO H H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 10 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SMILING EMPEROR CP/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | KOLACHI E-/SR/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 7 | 49.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MEGA FORCE 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 32.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | ZETTA FORCE TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 12 | 31.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SMART BEAUTY B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | CARRYON SMILING CP/TT H Y Yuen · C S Shum | H Y Yuen | C S Shum | 6 | 8.7 | 18-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE V-/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 11 | 18.0 | 19-1/4 |
| — | 0 | KASA PAPA CP/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| WV | 5 | PING HAI COMET H E Brown · J Size | E Brown | J Size | 6 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 17.4% | 5.73 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 16.3% | 6.14 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | CARRYON SMILING | 12.0% | 8.32 | 13 |
| 4 | 12 | SMART BEAUTY | 6.8% | 14.76 | 12 |
| 5 | 13 | GOLD TACK | 6.7% | 15.01 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | SMILING EMPEROR | 6.1% | 16.39 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 6.0% | 16.74 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY BUDDIES | 5.8% | 17.27 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 5.3% | 18.72 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | HARRY'S HERO | 5.2% | 19.25 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | ZETTA FORCE | 4.4% | 22.98 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | MEGA FORCE | 3.7% | 27.31 | 10 |
| 13 | 3 | KOLACHI | 2.4% | 41.24 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 2.0% | 50.45 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 138
PLACE
1 44.5
2 33.5
11 17
QUINELLA
1,11 298
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 260
1,11 108
2,11 104
FORECAST
1,11 816
TIERCE
1,11,2 7,502
TRIO
1,2,11 1,420
FIRST 4
1,2,11,13 2,548
QUARTET
1,11,2,13 70,860