沙田 · 2026-07-12 · 13:20
ALL YOU WISH HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-07-12沙田第11場「ALL YOU WISH HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Orman策騎、W Y So訓練的PERFECTDAY勝出。COME FAST FAY FAY獲得亞軍；TITAN PEGASUS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門SUPER EXPRESS跑獲第5名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PERFECTDAY 後段發力 B/TT 1:20.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 6 | 16.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY 後段發力 SR/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 14 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | TITAN PEGASUS 後段發力 E Brown · D Eustace | E Brown | D Eustace | 12 | 49.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | MONARCH COUNTY 後段發力 TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 7.8 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER EXPRESS 後段發力 P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 2.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING B/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 1 | 3.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | KEMPES 後段發力 CP1 A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 13 | 62.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | MAJESTIC VALOUR 早段領放 B-/TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | LOVERO L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 10 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | FORTUNE LINK V1 H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 11 | 85.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 39.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | VECU TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 140.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | VOYAGE HORIZON XB-/TT- M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 54.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MORGAN SUCCESS B/XB · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FLYING KNIGHT B/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER EXPRESS | 25.8% | 3.87 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING | 19.0% | 5.27 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON | 9.8% | 10.25 | 10 |
| 4 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY | 8.5% | 11.82 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | MONARCH COUNTY | 7.9% | 12.73 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | MAJESTIC VALOUR | 7.6% | 13.23 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | PERFECTDAY | 4.7% | 21.20 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | KEMPES | 3.4% | 29.06 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | VOYAGE HORIZON | 3.0% | 32.94 | 14 |
| 10 | 2 | LOVERO | 2.6% | 38.45 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | FORTUNE LINK | 2.6% | 38.60 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 2.3% | 42.88 | 12 |
| 13 | 4 | TITAN PEGASUS | 1.6% | 61.42 | 3 |
| 14 | 14 | VECU | 1.2% | 81.22 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 164
PLACE
3 32.5
4 120.5
12 33
QUINELLA
3,12 802
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 703
3,12 200
4,12 970.5
FORECAST
3,12 1,330
TIERCE
3,12,4 52,850
TRIO
3,4,12 8,455
FIRST 4
3,4,9,12 12,961
QUARTET
3,12,4,9 387,515
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
13/3 784.5
13/12 151
2ND TREBLE
5/13/3 11,280
5/13/12 1,062
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,12,13/3,4,12 1,494,617
SIX UP
2/3/2/5/13/3 2,390,385
2,10/3,6/2,12/1,5/4,13/3,12 53,988
1 [Z Purton] —
5 [B Crawford] —