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Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 21:20

ALL YOU WISH HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7 #8 MEANINGFUL DRAGON — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:20.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 PERFECTDAY Closed strongly B/TT 1:20.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · W Y So 6 16.0 —
2 12 COME FAST FAY FAY Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · K H Ting 14 12.0 1-1/4
3 4 TITAN PEGASUS Closed strongly E Brown · D Eustace 12 49.0 2
4 9 MONARCH COUNTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 8 7.8 3
5 1 SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly P/TT H Bowman · J Size 5 2.3 3-1/4
6 6 ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING B/TT A Atzeni · K L Man 1 3.9 4-1/2
7 13 KEMPES Closed strongly CP1 A Badel · D J Hall 13 62.0 4-3/4
8 7 MAJESTIC VALOUR Led early B-/TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng 9 18.0 5-1/4
9 2 LOVERO L Hewitson · B Crawford 10 37.0 5-1/4
10 8 MEANINGFUL DRAGON B C L Chau · K W Lui 4 12.0 5-3/4
11 5 FORTUNE LINK V1 H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 11 85.0 6-3/4
12 11 NEW FUTURE FOLKS XB M L Yeung · C W Chang 3 39.0 8
13 14 VECU TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 140.0 10-1/2
14 10 VOYAGE HORIZON XB-/TT- M F Poon · F C Lor 7 54.0 11-1/4
— 0 MORGAN SUCCESS B/XB · D J Whyte — — —
— 0 FLYING KNIGHT B/TT · W K Mo — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 ("ALL YOU WISH HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PERFECTDAY, ridden by J Orman and trained by W Y So, won, with COME FAST FAY FAY second and TITAN PEGASUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PERFECTDAY—2. COME FAST FAY FAY+1.25L3. TITAN PEGASUS+2L4. MONARCH COUNTY+3L5. SUPER EXPRESS+3.25L6. ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING+4.5L7. KEMPES+4.75L8. MAJESTIC VALOUR+5.25L9. LOVERO+5.25L10. MEANINGFUL DRAGON+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPER EXPRESS (25.8%) finished 5th — the winner PERFECTDAY was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SUPER EXPRESS 25.8% 3.87 5
2 6 ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING 19.0% 5.27 6
3 8 MEANINGFUL DRAGON 9.8% 10.25 10
4 12 COME FAST FAY FAY 8.5% 11.82 2
5 9 MONARCH COUNTY 7.9% 12.73 4
6 7 MAJESTIC VALOUR 7.6% 13.23 8
7 3 PERFECTDAY 4.7% 21.20 1
8 13 KEMPES 3.4% 29.06 7
9 10 VOYAGE HORIZON 3.0% 32.94 14
10 2 LOVERO 2.6% 38.45 9
11 5 FORTUNE LINK 2.6% 38.60 11
12 11 NEW FUTURE FOLKS 2.3% 42.88 12
13 4 TITAN PEGASUS 1.6% 61.42 3
14 14 VECU 1.2% 81.22 13
SUPER EXPRESSALMIGHTY LIGHTNINGMEANINGFUL DRAGONCOME FAST FAY FAYMONARCH COUNTYMAJESTIC VALOURPERFECTDAY — wonKEMPESVOYAGE HORIZONLOVEROFORTUNE LINKNEW FUTURE FOLKSTITAN PEGASUSVECU

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 164

PLACE

3 32.5

4 120.5

12 33

QUINELLA

3,12 802

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 703

3,12 200

4,12 970.5

FORECAST

3,12 1,330

TIERCE

3,12,4 52,850

TRIO

3,4,12 8,455

FIRST 4

3,4,9,12 12,961

QUARTET

3,12,4,9 387,515

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

13/3 784.5

13/12 151

2ND TREBLE

5/13/3 11,280

5/13/12 1,062

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,12,13/3,4,12 1,494,617

SIX UP

2/3/2/5/13/3 2,390,385

2,10/3,6/2,12/1,5/4,13/3,12 53,988

5 [B Crawford] —

1 [Z Purton] —