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Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 13:20

ALL YOU WISH HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 11 ("ALL YOU WISH HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PERFECTDAY, ridden by J Orman and trained by W Y So, won, with COME FAST FAY FAY second and TITAN PEGASUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 5th.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7 #8 MEANINGFUL DRAGON — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:20.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 PERFECTDAY Closed strongly B/TT 1:20.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · W Y So 6 16.0
2 12 COME FAST FAY FAY Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · K H Ting 14 12.0 1-1/4
3 4 TITAN PEGASUS Closed strongly E Brown · D Eustace 12 49.0 2
4 9 MONARCH COUNTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 8 7.8 3
5 1 SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly P/TT H Bowman · J Size 5 2.3 3-1/4
6 6 ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING B/TT A Atzeni · K L Man 1 3.9 4-1/2
7 13 KEMPES Closed strongly CP1 A Badel · D J Hall 13 62.0 4-3/4
8 7 MAJESTIC VALOUR Led early B-/TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng 9 18.0 5-1/4
9 2 LOVERO L Hewitson · B Crawford 10 37.0 5-1/4
10 8 MEANINGFUL DRAGON B C L Chau · K W Lui 4 12.0 5-3/4
11 5 FORTUNE LINK V1 H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 11 85.0 6-3/4
12 11 NEW FUTURE FOLKS XB M L Yeung · C W Chang 3 39.0 8
13 14 VECU TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 140.0 10-1/2
14 10 VOYAGE HORIZON XB-/TT- M F Poon · F C Lor 7 54.0 11-1/4
0 MORGAN SUCCESS B/XB · D J Whyte
0 FLYING KNIGHT B/TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PERFECTDAY2. COME FAST FAY FAY+1.25L3. TITAN PEGASUS+2L4. MONARCH COUNTY+3L5. SUPER EXPRESS+3.25L6. ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING+4.5L7. KEMPES+4.75L8. MAJESTIC VALOUR+5.25L9. LOVERO+5.25L10. MEANINGFUL DRAGON+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPER EXPRESS (25.8%) finished 5th — the winner PERFECTDAY was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SUPER EXPRESS 25.8% 3.87 5
2 6 ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING 19.0% 5.27 6
3 8 MEANINGFUL DRAGON 9.8% 10.25 10
4 12 COME FAST FAY FAY 8.5% 11.82 2
5 9 MONARCH COUNTY 7.9% 12.73 4
6 7 MAJESTIC VALOUR 7.6% 13.23 8
7 3 PERFECTDAY 4.7% 21.20 1
8 13 KEMPES 3.4% 29.06 7
9 10 VOYAGE HORIZON 3.0% 32.94 14
10 2 LOVERO 2.6% 38.45 9
11 5 FORTUNE LINK 2.6% 38.60 11
12 11 NEW FUTURE FOLKS 2.3% 42.88 12
13 4 TITAN PEGASUS 1.6% 61.42 3
14 14 VECU 1.2% 81.22 13
SUPER EXPRESSALMIGHTY LIGHTNINGMEANINGFUL DRAGONCOME FAST FAY FAYMONARCH COUNTYMAJESTIC VALOURPERFECTDAY — wonKEMPESVOYAGE HORIZONLOVEROFORTUNE LINKNEW FUTURE FOLKSTITAN PEGASUSVECU

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 164

PLACE

3 32.5

4 120.5

12 33

QUINELLA

3,12 802

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 703

3,12 200

4,12 970.5

FORECAST

3,12 1,330

TIERCE

3,12,4 52,850

TRIO

3,4,12 8,455

FIRST 4

3,4,9,12 12,961

QUARTET

3,12,4,9 387,515

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

13/3 784.5

13/12 151

2ND TREBLE

5/13/3 11,280

5/13/12 1,062

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,12,13/3,4,12 1,494,617

SIX UP

2/3/2/5/13/3 2,390,385

2,10/3,6/2,12/1,5/4,13/3,12 53,988

1 [Z Purton]

5 [B Crawford]