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Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 16:00

MIRACULOUS HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD TO FIRM 1800m Course A 14 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (4)
Penetrometer 2.7 #13 GOLD TACK — Weight Change #5 CARRYON SMILING — Code 96 #5 CARRYON SMILING — Jockey Change #5 CARRYON SMILING — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:47.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly V 1:47.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · B Crawford 14 13.0 —
2 11 DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui 5 4.5 1-3/4
3 2 HAILTOTHEVICTORS Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 4 13.0 1-3/4
4 13 GOLD TACK Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 2 7.1 3
5 4 GOLDEN FORTUNE B H Bowman · K L Man 8 4.3 3-1/4
6 7 HAPPY BUDDIES Led early CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 13 44.0 3-1/4
7 14 HARRY'S HERO H H T Mo · P F Yiu 10 18.0 4-1/4
8 10 SMILING EMPEROR CP/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting 1 15.0 5-1/4
9 3 KOLACHI E-/SR/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte 7 49.0 7-1/4
10 8 MEGA FORCE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 9 32.0 8-1/2
11 9 ZETTA FORCE TT C L Chau · C H Yip 12 31.0 9-1/4
12 12 SMART BEAUTY B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 12.0 11-1/4
13 5 CARRYON SMILING CP/TT H Y Yuen · C S Shum 6 8.7 18-3/4
14 6 SPECIAL HEDGE V-/TT K C Leung · C W Chang 11 18.0 19-1/4
— 0 KASA PAPA CP/TT · A S Cruz — — —
WV 5 PING HAI COMET H E Brown · J Size 6 — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 ("MIRACULOUS HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY MISSILE, ridden by A Badel and trained by B Crawford, won, with DRAGON SUNRISE second and HAILTOTHEVICTORS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite GOLDEN FORTUNE finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY MISSILE—2. DRAGON SUNRISE+1.75L3. HAILTOTHEVICTORS+1.75L4. GOLD TACK+3L5. GOLDEN FORTUNE+3.25L6. HAPPY BUDDIES+3.25L7. HARRY'S HERO+4.25L8. SMILING EMPEROR+5.25L9. KOLACHI+7.25L10. MEGA FORCE+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GOLDEN FORTUNE (17.4%) finished 5th — the winner BEAUTY MISSILE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 GOLDEN FORTUNE 17.4% 5.73 5
2 11 DRAGON SUNRISE 16.3% 6.14 2
3 5 CARRYON SMILING 12.0% 8.32 13
4 12 SMART BEAUTY 6.8% 14.76 12
5 13 GOLD TACK 6.7% 15.01 4
6 10 SMILING EMPEROR 6.1% 16.39 8
7 1 BEAUTY MISSILE 6.0% 16.74 1
8 7 HAPPY BUDDIES 5.8% 17.27 6
9 2 HAILTOTHEVICTORS 5.3% 18.72 3
10 14 HARRY'S HERO 5.2% 19.25 7
11 9 ZETTA FORCE 4.4% 22.98 11
12 8 MEGA FORCE 3.7% 27.31 10
13 3 KOLACHI 2.4% 41.24 9
14 6 SPECIAL HEDGE 2.0% 50.45 14
GOLDEN FORTUNEDRAGON SUNRISECARRYON SMILINGSMART BEAUTYGOLD TACKSMILING EMPERORBEAUTY MISSILE — wonHAPPY BUDDIESHAILTOTHEVICTORSHARRY'S HEROZETTA FORCEMEGA FORCEKOLACHISPECIAL HEDGE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 138

PLACE

1 44.5

2 33.5

11 17

QUINELLA

1,11 298

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 260

1,11 108

2,11 104

FORECAST

1,11 816

TIERCE

1,11,2 7,502

TRIO

1,2,11 1,420

FIRST 4

1,2,11,13 2,548

QUARTET

1,11,2,13 70,860