Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 08:00
MIRACULOUS HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("MIRACULOUS HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY MISSILE, ridden by A Badel and trained by B Crawford, won, with DRAGON SUNRISE second and HAILTOTHEVICTORS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite GOLDEN FORTUNE finished 5th.
Track detail & race-day changes (4)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly V 1:47.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · B Crawford | A Badel | B Crawford | 14 | 13.0 | — |
| 2 | 11 | DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 4 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 7.1 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | GOLDEN FORTUNE B H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY BUDDIES Led early CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 13 | 44.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | HARRY'S HERO H H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 10 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SMILING EMPEROR CP/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | KOLACHI E-/SR/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 7 | 49.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MEGA FORCE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 32.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | ZETTA FORCE TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 12 | 31.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SMART BEAUTY B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | CARRYON SMILING CP/TT H Y Yuen · C S Shum | H Y Yuen | C S Shum | 6 | 8.7 | 18-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE V-/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 11 | 18.0 | 19-1/4 |
| — | 0 | KASA PAPA CP/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| WV | 5 | PING HAI COMET H E Brown · J Size | E Brown | J Size | 6 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 17.4% | 5.73 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 16.3% | 6.14 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | CARRYON SMILING | 12.0% | 8.32 | 13 |
| 4 | 12 | SMART BEAUTY | 6.8% | 14.76 | 12 |
| 5 | 13 | GOLD TACK | 6.7% | 15.01 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | SMILING EMPEROR | 6.1% | 16.39 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 6.0% | 16.74 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY BUDDIES | 5.8% | 17.27 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 5.3% | 18.72 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | HARRY'S HERO | 5.2% | 19.25 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | ZETTA FORCE | 4.4% | 22.98 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | MEGA FORCE | 3.7% | 27.31 | 10 |
| 13 | 3 | KOLACHI | 2.4% | 41.24 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 2.0% | 50.45 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 138
PLACE
1 44.5
2 33.5
11 17
QUINELLA
1,11 298
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 260
1,11 108
2,11 104
FORECAST
1,11 816
TIERCE
1,11,2 7,502
TRIO
1,2,11 1,420
FIRST 4
1,2,11,13 2,548
QUARTET
1,11,2,13 70,860