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Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 17:30

MEDIC KINGDOM HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7

Result

Official · 1:21.48
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 RISING PHOENIX Closed strongly B 1:21.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 3 2.1 —
2 12 GOLDEN WIN Closed strongly V1 P N Wong · K L Man 10 68.0 N
3 1 HAROLD WIN Led early V/XB E Brown · K W Lui 14 4.1 1-1/4
4 6 SUPER LOVE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C H Yip 5 16.0 3-1/4
5 8 HAPPY PROMISE Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes 9 21.0 3-1/4
6 3 BUCEPHALAS XB-/V1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 13 51.0 3-1/4
7 10 FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · M Newnham 12 41.0 3-1/2
8 13 GOR GOR Closed strongly L Hewitson · B Crawford 4 32.0 4
9 14 FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly SR-/B/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 29.0 4-1/2
10 5 LUCKY MAN BO/H L Ferraris · K H Ting 1 10.0 4-3/4
11 7 MASSIVE REWARD TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 2 16.0 6-1/4
12 4 MY WYNDFALL Closed strongly TT1 K Teetan · J Richards 8 105.0 6-1/2
13 11 ALABAMA SONG H A Badel · J Size 7 19.0 6-1/2
14 9 DAILY ACCLAIM XB-/P1 J Moreira · C Fownes 6 20.0 11
— 0 GLACIATED PC/TT · P C Ng — — —
— 0 EMERGING STAR B/TT · C W Chang — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("MEDIC KINGDOM HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RISING PHOENIX, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won, with GOLDEN WIN second and HAROLD WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RISING PHOENIX—2. GOLDEN WIN+0.05L3. HAROLD WIN+1.25L4. SUPER LOVE+3.25L5. HAPPY PROMISE+3.25L6. BUCEPHALAS+3.25L7. FORTUNE STAR+3.5L8. GOR GOR+4L9. FIGHTING MACHINE+4.5L10. LUCKY MAN+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick RISING PHOENIX (28.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 RISING PHOENIX 28.9% 3.46 1
2 1 HAROLD WIN 11.3% 8.86 3
3 5 LUCKY MAN 10.2% 9.81 10
4 11 ALABAMA SONG 7.8% 12.75 13
5 9 DAILY ACCLAIM 7.3% 13.78 14
6 8 HAPPY PROMISE 6.1% 16.43 5
7 6 SUPER LOVE 5.4% 18.40 4
8 7 MASSIVE REWARD 5.3% 18.95 11
9 13 GOR GOR 4.6% 21.81 8
10 10 FORTUNE STAR 3.6% 27.90 7
11 4 MY WYNDFALL 3.6% 27.98 12
12 14 FIGHTING MACHINE 2.1% 48.17 9
13 12 GOLDEN WIN 2.0% 49.63 2
14 3 BUCEPHALAS 1.9% 53.25 6
RISING PHOENIX — wonHAROLD WINLUCKY MANALABAMA SONGDAILY ACCLAIMHAPPY PROMISESUPER LOVEMASSIVE REWARDGOR GORFORTUNE STARMY WYNDFALLFIGHTING MACHINEGOLDEN WINBUCEPHALAS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 21.5

PLACE

1 15

2 12.5

12 133.5

QUINELLA

2,12 706

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 22

1,12 323.5

2,12 226

FORECAST

2,12 881

TIERCE

2,12,1 4,791

TRIO

1,2,12 710

FIRST 4

1,2,6,12 2,144

QUARTET

2,12,1,6 33,527

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

6/2 108.5

6/12 507.5