Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 09:30
MEDIC KINGDOM HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("MEDIC KINGDOM HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RISING PHOENIX, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won, with GOLDEN WIN second and HAROLD WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RISING PHOENIX Closed strongly B 1:21.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 2.1 | — |
| 2 | 12 | GOLDEN WIN Closed strongly V1 P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 10 | 68.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | HAROLD WIN Led early V/XB E Brown · K W Lui | E Brown | K W Lui | 14 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER LOVE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 5 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY PROMISE Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 9 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BUCEPHALAS XB-/V1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 13 | 51.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 12 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | GOR GOR Closed strongly L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 4 | 32.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly SR-/B/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY MAN BO/H L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MASSIVE REWARD TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 2 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | MY WYNDFALL Closed strongly TT1 K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 8 | 105.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | ALABAMA SONG H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | DAILY ACCLAIM XB-/P1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 20.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | GLACIATED PC/TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | EMERGING STAR B/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RISING PHOENIX | 28.9% | 3.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | HAROLD WIN | 11.3% | 8.86 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | LUCKY MAN | 10.2% | 9.81 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | ALABAMA SONG | 7.8% | 12.75 | 13 |
| 5 | 9 | DAILY ACCLAIM | 7.3% | 13.78 | 14 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY PROMISE | 6.1% | 16.43 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER LOVE | 5.4% | 18.40 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | MASSIVE REWARD | 5.3% | 18.95 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | GOR GOR | 4.6% | 21.81 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | FORTUNE STAR | 3.6% | 27.90 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | MY WYNDFALL | 3.6% | 27.98 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 2.1% | 48.17 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | GOLDEN WIN | 2.0% | 49.63 | 2 |
| 14 | 3 | BUCEPHALAS | 1.9% | 53.25 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 21.5
PLACE
1 15
2 12.5
12 133.5
QUINELLA
2,12 706
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 22
1,12 323.5
2,12 226
FORECAST
2,12 881
TIERCE
2,12,1 4,791
TRIO
1,2,12 710
FIRST 4
1,2,6,12 2,144
QUARTET
2,12,1,6 33,527
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
6/2 108.5
6/12 507.5