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Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 10:00

BIG PROFIT HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 5 ("BIG PROFIT HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GREEN ANGEL, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won, with ENJOY GOLF second and LUNAR DASH third. The 3.2 favourite LUNAR DASH finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7

Result

Official · 1:08.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 GREEN ANGEL B 1:08.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng 9 25.0
2 12 ENJOY GOLF B P N Wong · F C Lor 8 7.9 1/2
3 1 LUNAR DASH XB/B2 Z Purton · B Crawford 1 3.2 3/4
4 7 SPEEDY PATCH TT1 C Y Ho · K L Man 3 36.0 1-3/4
5 6 MIGHTY PROFIT C L Chau · D Eustace 6 12.0 1-3/4
6 3 KA YING RESILIENCE B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 7 4.2 2
7 13 LIGHTNING ACE H/TT L Hewitson · W K Mo 12 45.0 2-1/4
8 11 CASA PRIMO H/XB R Kingscote · C W Chang 14 13.0 3-1/4
9 8 TACTICAL VICTORY V-/TT- A Badel · J Richards 11 170.0 5-1/4
10 5 LEAN FLYER K C Leung · C H Yip 13 116.0 6-1/4
11 2 HAYDAY H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 5 6.3 6-1/2
12 9 E HOPEFUL TT J Orman · W Y So 10 82.0 9
13 14 SO MY FOLKS CP-/XB/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 2 10.0 9-1/2
14 4 HERE COMES PLUTUS E Brown · K W Lui 4 62.0 12-3/4
0 SHOTGUN B/XB · D J Hall
0 STAR SATYR CP/TT · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GREEN ANGEL2. ENJOY GOLF+0.5L3. LUNAR DASH+0.75L4. SPEEDY PATCH+1.75L5. MIGHTY PROFIT+1.75L6. KA YING RESILIENCE+2L7. LIGHTNING ACE+2.25L8. CASA PRIMO+3.25L9. TACTICAL VICTORY+5.25L10. LEAN FLYER+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick KA YING RESILIENCE (24.1%) finished 6th — the winner GREEN ANGEL was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 KA YING RESILIENCE 24.1% 4.16 6
2 2 HAYDAY 15.7% 6.38 11
3 1 LUNAR DASH 14.2% 7.06 3
4 14 SO MY FOLKS 11.2% 8.92 13
5 12 ENJOY GOLF 8.6% 11.64 2
6 6 MIGHTY PROFIT 4.6% 21.65 5
7 11 CASA PRIMO 4.6% 21.88 8
8 4 HERE COMES PLUTUS 3.6% 28.10 14
9 7 SPEEDY PATCH 3.2% 31.38 4
10 13 LIGHTNING ACE 2.8% 35.25 7
11 9 E HOPEFUL 2.4% 41.28 12
12 10 GREEN ANGEL 2.0% 49.59 1
13 5 LEAN FLYER 1.6% 63.11 10
14 8 TACTICAL VICTORY 1.5% 66.38 9
KA YING RESILIENCEHAYDAYLUNAR DASHSO MY FOLKSENJOY GOLFMIGHTY PROFITCASA PRIMOHERE COMES PLUTUSSPEEDY PATCHLIGHTNING ACEE HOPEFULGREEN ANGEL — wonLEAN FLYERTACTICAL VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 252.5

PLACE

1 14.5

10 63

12 25

QUINELLA

10,12 1,014.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,10 127.5

1,12 49.5

10,12 287.5

FORECAST

10,12 2,746

TIERCE

10,12,1 13,822

TRIO

1,10,12 1,194

FIRST 4

1,7,10,12 6,639

QUARTET

10,12,1,7 212,151

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

6/2/10 3,600

6/2/12 168

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,12/1,10,12 75,196

4TH DOUBLE

2/10 619.5

2/12 39.5