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Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 10:30

VICTORY MARVEL HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 6 ("VICTORY MARVEL HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PRESTIGE ALWAYS, ridden by H Y Yuen and trained by P C Ng, won, with SPIRITED STEED second and SOLID CAR third. The 3.6 favourite SOLID CAR finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7

Result

Official · 1:08.71
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 PRESTIGE ALWAYS B/TT 1:08.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Y Yuen · P C Ng 7 3.8
2 10 SPIRITED STEED E Brown · K W Lui 8 97.0 N
3 8 SOLID CAR B/TT J Orman · D J Hall 9 3.6 1
4 12 VICTORY CHAMPION CP K C Leung · F C Lor 13 16.0 1-3/4
5 14 RISING ELITE B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 2 18.0 2
6 1 OLDTOWN B/XB Z Purton · M Newnham 11 6.8 2-3/4
7 7 RYUI KOKOROE BO-/SB2 R Kingscote · D A Hayes 12 41.0 3
8 11 MONTA FRUTTA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 57.0 3-1/4
9 9 KING'S ARROW L Hewitson · B Crawford 4 15.0 4-1/2
10 3 IRON SECURITY CP/TT P N Wong · C W Chang 14 45.0 6
11 4 NOBLE SUPERIOR SR1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 1 46.0 6-1/4
12 6 SILVER SPURS TT J Moreira · C Fownes 10 8.1 7-3/4
13 13 MAJESTIC LIFE TT A Badel · C H Yip 6 57.0 9-1/4
14 5 PRIME WINISTER XB/TT H Bowman · C S Shum 5 9.0 10-1/2
0 REAL GENTLEMAN H/TT · K L Man
0 LUCKY BID TT- · J Richards

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PRESTIGE ALWAYS2. SPIRITED STEED+0.05L3. SOLID CAR+1L4. VICTORY CHAMPION+1.75L5. RISING ELITE+2L6. OLDTOWN+2.75L7. RYUI KOKOROE+3L8. MONTA FRUTTA+3.25L9. KING'S ARROW+4.5L10. IRON SECURITY+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick OLDTOWN (17.9%) finished 6th — the winner PRESTIGE ALWAYS was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 OLDTOWN 17.9% 5.57 6
2 14 RISING ELITE 14.4% 6.95 5
3 2 PRESTIGE ALWAYS 11.5% 8.66 1
4 8 SOLID CAR 10.6% 9.47 3
5 5 PRIME WINISTER 10.0% 9.95 14
6 6 SILVER SPURS 9.4% 10.61 12
7 12 VICTORY CHAMPION 7.5% 13.41 4
8 13 MAJESTIC LIFE 4.0% 25.21 13
9 11 MONTA FRUTTA 2.8% 35.54 8
10 9 KING'S ARROW 2.8% 35.77 9
11 3 IRON SECURITY 2.6% 39.18 10
12 7 RYUI KOKOROE 2.5% 39.53 7
13 4 NOBLE SUPERIOR 2.3% 43.48 11
14 10 SPIRITED STEED 1.7% 60.03 2
OLDTOWNRISING ELITEPRESTIGE ALWAYS — wonSOLID CARPRIME WINISTERSILVER SPURSVICTORY CHAMPIONMAJESTIC LIFEMONTA FRUTTAKING'S ARROWIRON SECURITYRYUI KOKOROENOBLE SUPERIORSPIRITED STEED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 38.5

PLACE

2 16

8 16

10 253.5

QUINELLA

2,10 2,742

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 38.5

2,10 759.5

8,10 610.5

FORECAST

2,10 3,650

TIERCE

2,10,8 22,392

TRIO

2,8,10 2,962

FIRST 4

2,8,10,12 6,499

QUARTET

2,10,8,12 182,673

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

10/2 933.5

10/10 1,954