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Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 11:35

THE HONG KONG RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION TROPHY (HANDICAP)

Race 8

Class 1 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A 12 runners

Race 8 ("THE HONG KONG RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION TROPHY (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY JOY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by A S Cruz, won, with MAX QUE second and SILVERY BREEZE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite SAGACIOUS LIFE finished 7th.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.7 #1 CAP FERRAT — Code 92 #11 CALIFORNIATOTALITY — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:33.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT 1:33.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · A S Cruz 5 10.0
2 12 MAX QUE Closed strongly TT A Badel · M Newnham 6 12.0 3/4
3 9 SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · D Eustace 1 5.4 3/4
4 4 SOLEIL FIGHTER Led early TT H Y Yuen · D A Hayes 7 5.4 1-1/2
5 8 PACKING ANGEL XB K Teetan · K W Lui 9 9.2 1-3/4
6 11 CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz 3 61.0 2
7 5 SAGACIOUS LIFE TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 3.8 3-1/2
8 10 STUNNING PEACH CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 11.0 4-1/4
9 6 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT P N Wong · C S Shum 12 19.0 5
10 13 NAUTICAL FORCE M L Yeung · J Size 10 22.0 5-3/4
11 7 HUGE WAVE TT H T Mo · K H Ting 8 38.0 6-1/4
12 3 MASSIVE SOVEREIGN CP- A Atzeni · F C Lor 11 15.0 15-1/2
WV 1 CAP FERRAT E Brown · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY JOY2. MAX QUE+0.75L3. SILVERY BREEZE+0.75L4. SOLEIL FIGHTER+1.5L5. PACKING ANGEL+1.75L6. CALIFORNIATOTALITY+2L7. SAGACIOUS LIFE+3.5L8. STUNNING PEACH+4.25L9. HELENE FEELING+5L10. NAUTICAL FORCE+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SAGACIOUS LIFE (18.5%) finished 7th — the winner BEAUTY JOY was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 SAGACIOUS LIFE 18.5% 5.40 7
2 9 SILVERY BREEZE 13.4% 7.44 3
3 2 BEAUTY JOY 10.9% 9.14 1
4 8 PACKING ANGEL 9.2% 10.88 5
5 3 MASSIVE SOVEREIGN 8.3% 11.98 12
6 4 SOLEIL FIGHTER 7.4% 13.46 4
7 13 NAUTICAL FORCE 7.2% 13.97 10
8 12 MAX QUE 6.8% 14.61 2
9 10 STUNNING PEACH 5.4% 18.58 8
10 7 HUGE WAVE 5.3% 18.78 11
11 11 CALIFORNIATOTALITY 4.0% 25.29 6
12 6 HELENE FEELING 3.5% 28.83 9
SAGACIOUS LIFESILVERY BREEZEBEAUTY JOY — wonPACKING ANGELMASSIVE SOVEREIGNSOLEIL FIGHTERNAUTICAL FORCEMAX QUESTUNNING PEACHHUGE WAVECALIFORNIATOTALITYHELENE FEELING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 101

PLACE

2 29.5

9 18.5

12 34.5

QUINELLA

2,12 508.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,9 82

2,12 154

9,12 95.5

FORECAST

2,12 1,162

TIERCE

2,12,9 7,111

TRIO

2,9,12 1,023

FIRST 4

2,4,9,12 808

QUARTET

2,12,9,4 21,526

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

3/2 314.5

3/12 59