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Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 11:00

SOLAR HEI HEI HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A 14 runners

Race 7 ("SOLAR HEI HEI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PACKING FIGHTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won, with AUTOMATED second and ABSOLUTE HONOUR third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7

Result

Official · 1:33.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 PACKING FIGHTER Wire to wire XB/TT 1:33.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum 13 2.3
2 6 AUTOMATED Closed strongly H-/TT R Kingscote · W Y So 11 93.0 1-3/4
3 5 ABSOLUTE HONOUR Closed strongly A Atzeni · F C Lor 9 11.0 2-1/2
4 10 SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly P-/H/TT A Badel · W K Mo 4 3.4 4
5 14 ARIEL B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 44.0 5-3/4
6 4 VIVACIOUS WIN B/TT E Brown · D Eustace 12 23.0 5-3/4
7 1 MIGHTY STEED Closed strongly CP L Hewitson · K W Lui 3 27.0 6
8 7 FAMILY KNIGHT Closed strongly SR-/CP2/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte 8 20.0 6
9 9 POLAR PATCH Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · M Newnham 5 6.9 7-1/4
10 11 FLYING AMANI Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall 14 95.0 7-3/4
11 8 LOVELY MILES B H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 6 58.0 8
12 13 AMO ERGO SUM Closed strongly K Teetan · B Crawford 7 98.0 8-1/2
13 12 PEARL OF PANG'S B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 2 66.0 9
14 2 SO YOU WILL H/P/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 10 19.0 16
0 SHAMZ TT · A S Cruz
0 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR H/TT · C W Chang

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PACKING FIGHTER2. AUTOMATED+1.75L3. ABSOLUTE HONOUR+2.5L4. SMART FAT CAT+4L5. ARIEL+5.75L6. VIVACIOUS WIN+5.75L7. MIGHTY STEED+6L8. FAMILY KNIGHT+6L9. POLAR PATCH+7.25L10. FLYING AMANI+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PACKING FIGHTER (25.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 PACKING FIGHTER 25.5% 3.92 1
2 10 SMART FAT CAT 14.7% 6.78 4
3 5 ABSOLUTE HONOUR 9.7% 10.27 3
4 9 POLAR PATCH 9.1% 11.00 9
5 4 VIVACIOUS WIN 6.4% 15.61 6
6 7 FAMILY KNIGHT 5.9% 16.84 8
7 1 MIGHTY STEED 5.4% 18.47 7
8 2 SO YOU WILL 5.4% 18.50 14
9 14 ARIEL 4.0% 24.85 5
10 8 LOVELY MILES 3.8% 26.47 11
11 11 FLYING AMANI 2.8% 36.35 10
12 13 AMO ERGO SUM 2.5% 40.41 12
13 6 AUTOMATED 2.4% 40.82 2
14 12 PEARL OF PANG'S 2.3% 43.91 13
PACKING FIGHTER — wonSMART FAT CATABSOLUTE HONOURPOLAR PATCHVIVACIOUS WINFAMILY KNIGHTMIGHTY STEEDSO YOU WILLARIELLOVELY MILESFLYING AMANIAMO ERGO SUMAUTOMATEDPEARL OF PANG'S

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 23.5

PLACE

3 12

5 26.5

6 158

QUINELLA

3,6 868

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 46.5

3,6 258.5

5,6 740

FORECAST

3,6 1,016

TIERCE

3,6,5 9,084

TRIO

3,5,6 2,026

FIRST 4

3,5,6,10 1,038

QUARTET

3,6,5,10 30,985

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,8,10/3,5,6 820,053

6TH DOUBLE

2/3 90.5

2/6 450

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,10,12/2,8,10/Any Combination 92,296