沙田 · 2026-07-12 · 11:00
SOLAR HEI HEI HANDICAP
第 7場
2026-07-12沙田第7場「SOLAR HEI HEI HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的PACKING FIGHTER勝出。AUTOMATED獲得亞軍；ABSOLUTE HONOUR獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING FIGHTER 一路領先 XB/TT 1:33.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 13 | 2.3 | — |
| 2 | 6 | AUTOMATED 後段發力 H-/TT R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 11 | 93.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR 後段發力 A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | SMART FAT CAT 後段發力 P-/H/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 4 | 3.4 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | ARIEL B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 44.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | VIVACIOUS WIN B/TT E Brown · D Eustace | E Brown | D Eustace | 12 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | MIGHTY STEED 後段發力 CP L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | FAMILY KNIGHT 後段發力 SR-/CP2/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 8 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | POLAR PATCH 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 5 | 6.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | FLYING AMANI 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 95.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | LOVELY MILES B H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 6 | 58.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | AMO ERGO SUM 後段發力 K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 7 | 98.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | PEARL OF PANG'S B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 2 | 66.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 2 | SO YOU WILL H/P/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 19.0 | 16 |
| — | 0 | SHAMZ TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR H/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING FIGHTER | 25.5% | 3.92 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | SMART FAT CAT | 14.7% | 6.78 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 9.7% | 10.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | POLAR PATCH | 9.1% | 11.00 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | VIVACIOUS WIN | 6.4% | 15.61 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | FAMILY KNIGHT | 5.9% | 16.84 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | MIGHTY STEED | 5.4% | 18.47 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | SO YOU WILL | 5.4% | 18.50 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | ARIEL | 4.0% | 24.85 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | LOVELY MILES | 3.8% | 26.47 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | FLYING AMANI | 2.8% | 36.35 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | AMO ERGO SUM | 2.5% | 40.41 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | AUTOMATED | 2.4% | 40.82 | 2 |
| 14 | 12 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 2.3% | 43.91 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 23.5
PLACE
3 12
5 26.5
6 158
QUINELLA
3,6 868
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 46.5
3,6 258.5
5,6 740
FORECAST
3,6 1,016
TIERCE
3,6,5 9,084
TRIO
3,5,6 2,026
FIRST 4
3,5,6,10 1,038
QUARTET
3,6,5,10 30,985
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,10/3,5,6 820,053
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 90.5
2/6 450
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,10,12/2,8,10/Any Combination 92,296