沙田 · 2026-07-12 · 09:30
MEDIC KINGDOM HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-07-12沙田第4場「MEDIC KINGDOM HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的RISING PHOENIX勝出。GOLDEN WIN獲得亞軍；HAROLD WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RISING PHOENIX 後段發力 B 1:21.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 2.1 | — |
| 2 | 12 | GOLDEN WIN 後段發力 V1 P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 10 | 68.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | HAROLD WIN 早段領放 V/XB E Brown · K W Lui | E Brown | K W Lui | 14 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER LOVE 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 5 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY PROMISE 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 9 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BUCEPHALAS XB-/V1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 13 | 51.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FORTUNE STAR 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 12 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | GOR GOR 後段發力 L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 4 | 32.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 SR-/B/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY MAN BO/H L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MASSIVE REWARD TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 2 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | MY WYNDFALL 後段發力 TT1 K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 8 | 105.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | ALABAMA SONG H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | DAILY ACCLAIM XB-/P1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 20.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | GLACIATED PC/TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | EMERGING STAR B/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RISING PHOENIX | 28.9% | 3.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | HAROLD WIN | 11.3% | 8.86 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | LUCKY MAN | 10.2% | 9.81 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | ALABAMA SONG | 7.8% | 12.75 | 13 |
| 5 | 9 | DAILY ACCLAIM | 7.3% | 13.78 | 14 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY PROMISE | 6.1% | 16.43 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER LOVE | 5.4% | 18.40 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | MASSIVE REWARD | 5.3% | 18.95 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | GOR GOR | 4.6% | 21.81 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | FORTUNE STAR | 3.6% | 27.90 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | MY WYNDFALL | 3.6% | 27.98 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 2.1% | 48.17 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | GOLDEN WIN | 2.0% | 49.63 | 2 |
| 14 | 3 | BUCEPHALAS | 1.9% | 53.25 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 21.5
PLACE
1 15
2 12.5
12 133.5
QUINELLA
2,12 706
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 22
1,12 323.5
2,12 226
FORECAST
2,12 881
TIERCE
2,12,1 4,791
TRIO
1,2,12 710
FIRST 4
1,2,6,12 2,144
QUARTET
2,12,1,6 33,527
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
6/2 108.5
6/12 507.5