沙田 · 2026-07-12 · 10:00
BIG PROFIT HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-07-12沙田第5場「BIG PROFIT HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Atzeni策騎、P C Ng訓練的GREEN ANGEL勝出。ENJOY GOLF獲得亞軍；LUNAR DASH獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門LUNAR DASH跑獲第3名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GREEN ANGEL B 1:08.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 25.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | ENJOY GOLF B P N Wong · F C Lor | P N Wong | F C Lor | 8 | 7.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | LUNAR DASH XB/B2 Z Purton · B Crawford | Z Purton | B Crawford | 1 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SPEEDY PATCH TT1 C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 3 | 36.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | MIGHTY PROFIT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 6 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | KA YING RESILIENCE B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.2 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | LIGHTNING ACE H/TT L Hewitson · W K Mo | L Hewitson | W K Mo | 12 | 45.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | CASA PRIMO H/XB R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 14 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | TACTICAL VICTORY V-/TT- A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 11 | 170.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | LEAN FLYER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 13 | 116.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | HAYDAY H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | E HOPEFUL TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 10 | 82.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | SO MY FOLKS CP-/XB/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | HERE COMES PLUTUS E Brown · K W Lui | E Brown | K W Lui | 4 | 62.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SHOTGUN B/XB · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STAR SATYR CP/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 24.1% | 4.16 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | HAYDAY | 15.7% | 6.38 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | LUNAR DASH | 14.2% | 7.06 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | SO MY FOLKS | 11.2% | 8.92 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | ENJOY GOLF | 8.6% | 11.64 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | MIGHTY PROFIT | 4.6% | 21.65 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | CASA PRIMO | 4.6% | 21.88 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | HERE COMES PLUTUS | 3.6% | 28.10 | 14 |
| 9 | 7 | SPEEDY PATCH | 3.2% | 31.38 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | LIGHTNING ACE | 2.8% | 35.25 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | E HOPEFUL | 2.4% | 41.28 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | GREEN ANGEL | 2.0% | 49.59 | 1 |
| 13 | 5 | LEAN FLYER | 1.6% | 63.11 | 10 |
| 14 | 8 | TACTICAL VICTORY | 1.5% | 66.38 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 252.5
PLACE
1 14.5
10 63
12 25
QUINELLA
10,12 1,014.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 127.5
1,12 49.5
10,12 287.5
FORECAST
10,12 2,746
TIERCE
10,12,1 13,822
TRIO
1,10,12 1,194
FIRST 4
1,7,10,12 6,639
QUARTET
10,12,1,7 212,151
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
6/2/10 3,600
6/2/12 168
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,12/1,10,12 75,196
4TH DOUBLE
2/10 619.5
2/12 39.5