沙田 · 2026-07-12 · 11:35
THE HONG KONG RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION TROPHY (HANDICAP)
第 8場
2026-07-12沙田第8場「THE HONG KONG RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION TROPHY (HANDICAP)」，Class 1，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bowman策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEAUTY JOY勝出。MAX QUE獲得亞軍；SILVERY BREEZE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門SAGACIOUS LIFE跑獲第7名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（2）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY JOY 後段發力 TT 1:33.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 5 | 10.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | MAX QUE 後段發力 TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 6 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SILVERY BREEZE 後段發力 CP/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 1 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SOLEIL FIGHTER 早段領放 TT H Y Yuen · D A Hayes | H Y Yuen | D A Hayes | 7 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | PACKING ANGEL XB K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 3 | 61.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | SAGACIOUS LIFE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | STUNNING PEACH CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | HELENE FEELING 後段發力 B/TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 12 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | NAUTICAL FORCE M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 10 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | HUGE WAVE TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 8 | 38.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | MASSIVE SOVEREIGN CP- A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 11 | 15.0 | 15-1/2 |
| WV | 1 | CAP FERRAT E Brown · K W Lui | E Brown | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SAGACIOUS LIFE | 18.5% | 5.40 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | SILVERY BREEZE | 13.4% | 7.44 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | BEAUTY JOY | 10.9% | 9.14 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | PACKING ANGEL | 9.2% | 10.88 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | MASSIVE SOVEREIGN | 8.3% | 11.98 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 7.4% | 13.46 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | NAUTICAL FORCE | 7.2% | 13.97 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | MAX QUE | 6.8% | 14.61 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | STUNNING PEACH | 5.4% | 18.58 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | HUGE WAVE | 5.3% | 18.78 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 4.0% | 25.29 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | HELENE FEELING | 3.5% | 28.83 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 101
PLACE
2 29.5
9 18.5
12 34.5
QUINELLA
2,12 508.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 82
2,12 154
9,12 95.5
FORECAST
2,12 1,162
TIERCE
2,12,9 7,111
TRIO
2,9,12 1,023
FIRST 4
2,4,9,12 808
QUARTET
2,12,9,4 21,526
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
3/2 314.5
3/12 59