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Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 17:00

PINGWU SPARK HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7 #12 CIRCUIT MARSHAL — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:21.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 GRAND PATCH Closed strongly CP 1:21.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K L Man 2 4.7 —
2 9 KA YING GLORY Closed strongly BO-/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes 9 5.0 HD
3 10 VOYAGE BOSS B H Y Yuen · F C Lor 1 3.6 N
4 7 HOT AIR BALLON Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · D J Whyte 14 20.0 1/2
5 8 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY Closed strongly V/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 7 48.0 3/4
6 14 SILVER UP Closed strongly K Teetan · B Crawford 12 8.3 3/4
7 2 FLASH CURRENT Closed strongly TT E Brown · K H Ting 3 15.0 1-1/4
8 13 FLYING SNIPER CP1 Z Purton · D J Hall 4 5.2 2-1/2
9 3 LADY'S LOVE Closed strongly R Kingscote · C W Chang 10 89.0 3
10 12 CIRCUIT MARSHAL Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT C L Chau · M Newnham 13 28.0 3
11 5 GREEN AUTUMN L Hewitson · P C Ng 6 82.0 3-1/2
12 1 FLYING HUNTER H T Mo · W Y So 5 145.0 6-3/4
13 11 BEAUTY GEMINI Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 110.0 8-3/4
14 4 AETHELWIND TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 11 110.0 8-3/4
— 0 LIGHT YEARS GLORY XB · D Eustace — — —
— 0 SKY DEEP PC/XB J Moreira · C Fownes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 ("PINGWU SPARK HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GRAND PATCH, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K L Man, won, with KA YING GLORY second and VOYAGE BOSS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite VOYAGE BOSS finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GRAND PATCH—2. KA YING GLORY+0.2L3. VOYAGE BOSS+0.05L4. HOT AIR BALLON+0.5L5. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY+0.75L6. SILVER UP+0.75L7. FLASH CURRENT+1.25L8. FLYING SNIPER+2.5L9. LADY'S LOVE+3L10. CIRCUIT MARSHAL+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VOYAGE BOSS (30.9%) finished 3rd — the winner GRAND PATCH was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 VOYAGE BOSS 30.9% 3.24 3
2 13 FLYING SNIPER 19.4% 5.17 8
3 6 GRAND PATCH 11.2% 8.94 1
4 14 SILVER UP 7.6% 13.19 6
5 9 KA YING GLORY 5.7% 17.68 2
6 2 FLASH CURRENT 5.2% 19.08 7
7 7 HOT AIR BALLON 5.0% 20.16 4
8 12 CIRCUIT MARSHAL 3.3% 30.10 10
9 8 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 3.2% 31.37 5
10 5 GREEN AUTUMN 2.8% 35.42 11
11 3 LADY'S LOVE 1.9% 53.77 9
12 1 FLYING HUNTER 1.4% 72.32 12
13 4 AETHELWIND 1.3% 74.38 14
14 11 BEAUTY GEMINI 1.2% 81.95 13
VOYAGE BOSSFLYING SNIPERGRAND PATCH — wonSILVER UPKA YING GLORYFLASH CURRENTHOT AIR BALLONCIRCUIT MARSHALGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYGREEN AUTUMNLADY'S LOVEFLYING HUNTERAETHELWINDBEAUTY GEMINI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 47.5

PLACE

6 17

9 19

10 14.5

QUINELLA

6,9 135

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 52

6,10 37

9,10 41

FORECAST

6,9 304

TIERCE

6,9,10 1,118

TRIO

6,9,10 172

FIRST 4

6,7,9,10 610

QUARTET

6,9,10,7 12,027

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

6,7,11/6,9,10 6,129

2ND DOUBLE

7/6 156

7/9 48.5