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Sha Tin · 2026-07-12 · 09:00

PINGWU SPARK HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 3 ("PINGWU SPARK HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GRAND PATCH, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K L Man, won, with KA YING GLORY second and VOYAGE BOSS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite VOYAGE BOSS finished 3rd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7 #12 CIRCUIT MARSHAL — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:21.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 GRAND PATCH Closed strongly CP 1:21.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K L Man 2 4.7
2 9 KA YING GLORY Closed strongly BO-/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes 9 5.0 HD
3 10 VOYAGE BOSS B H Y Yuen · F C Lor 1 3.6 N
4 7 HOT AIR BALLON Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · D J Whyte 14 20.0 1/2
5 8 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY Closed strongly V/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 7 48.0 3/4
6 14 SILVER UP Closed strongly K Teetan · B Crawford 12 8.3 3/4
7 2 FLASH CURRENT Closed strongly TT E Brown · K H Ting 3 15.0 1-1/4
8 13 FLYING SNIPER CP1 Z Purton · D J Hall 4 5.2 2-1/2
9 3 LADY'S LOVE Closed strongly R Kingscote · C W Chang 10 89.0 3
10 12 CIRCUIT MARSHAL Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT C L Chau · M Newnham 13 28.0 3
11 5 GREEN AUTUMN L Hewitson · P C Ng 6 82.0 3-1/2
12 1 FLYING HUNTER H T Mo · W Y So 5 145.0 6-3/4
13 11 BEAUTY GEMINI Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 110.0 8-3/4
14 4 AETHELWIND TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 11 110.0 8-3/4
0 LIGHT YEARS GLORY XB · D Eustace
0 SKY DEEP PC/XB J Moreira · C Fownes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GRAND PATCH2. KA YING GLORY+0.2L3. VOYAGE BOSS+0.05L4. HOT AIR BALLON+0.5L5. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY+0.75L6. SILVER UP+0.75L7. FLASH CURRENT+1.25L8. FLYING SNIPER+2.5L9. LADY'S LOVE+3L10. CIRCUIT MARSHAL+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VOYAGE BOSS (30.9%) finished 3rd — the winner GRAND PATCH was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 VOYAGE BOSS 30.9% 3.24 3
2 13 FLYING SNIPER 19.4% 5.17 8
3 6 GRAND PATCH 11.2% 8.94 1
4 14 SILVER UP 7.6% 13.19 6
5 9 KA YING GLORY 5.7% 17.68 2
6 2 FLASH CURRENT 5.2% 19.08 7
7 7 HOT AIR BALLON 5.0% 20.16 4
8 12 CIRCUIT MARSHAL 3.3% 30.10 10
9 8 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 3.2% 31.37 5
10 5 GREEN AUTUMN 2.8% 35.42 11
11 3 LADY'S LOVE 1.9% 53.77 9
12 1 FLYING HUNTER 1.4% 72.32 12
13 4 AETHELWIND 1.3% 74.38 14
14 11 BEAUTY GEMINI 1.2% 81.95 13
VOYAGE BOSSFLYING SNIPERGRAND PATCH — wonSILVER UPKA YING GLORYFLASH CURRENTHOT AIR BALLONCIRCUIT MARSHALGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYGREEN AUTUMNLADY'S LOVEFLYING HUNTERAETHELWINDBEAUTY GEMINI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 47.5

PLACE

6 17

9 19

10 14.5

QUINELLA

6,9 135

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 52

6,10 37

9,10 41

FORECAST

6,9 304

TIERCE

6,9,10 1,118

TRIO

6,9,10 172

FIRST 4

6,7,9,10 610

QUARTET

6,9,10,7 12,027

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

6,7,11/6,9,10 6,129

2ND DOUBLE

7/6 156

7/9 48.5