Happy Valley · 2019-10-16
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-16 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RIGHTEOUS MATE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by 2-1/4, with KIRAM second and ROYAL RACER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite BUNDLE OF ENERGY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | RIGHTEOUS MATE Closed strongly 1.40.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | KIRAM Closed strongly A Sanna · D E Ferraris | A Sanna | D E Ferraris | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ROYAL RACER Closed strongly H/P Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 10 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 9 | 2.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | HO HO FEEL Closed strongly H/XB T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 4 | 46.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | FULL POWER Closed strongly XB U Rispoli · R Gibson | U Rispoli | R Gibson | 5 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | DIAMOND LEGEND V/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 12 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | CURLING LUXURY Led early H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 11 | 50.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/P/TT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 8 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | MASTER ROMAN K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 61.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 28.0% | 3.57 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | ROYAL RACER | 14.7% | 6.79 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | CURLING LUXURY | 13.4% | 7.46 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | DIAMOND LEGEND | 9.4% | 10.69 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 7.9% | 12.63 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | RIGHTEOUS MATE | 6.9% | 14.46 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 5.7% | 17.51 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | KIRAM | 5.0% | 19.97 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | FULL POWER | 4.8% | 20.95 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING | 1.5% | 67.67 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | MASTER ROMAN | 1.4% | 70.52 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | HO HO FEEL | 1.3% | 79.29 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 147
PLACE
3 26
6 10.1
11 37
12 10.1
QUINELLA
3,11 805
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 41
3,11 224
3,12 29.5
6,11 40
6,12 11.5
11,12 27
TIERCE
11,3,6 3,983
11,3,12 2,652
TRIO
3,6,11 571
3,11,12 367
FIRST 4
3,6,11,12 568
QUARTET
11,3,6,12 9,550
11,3,12,6 9,263
2ND DOUBLE
7/3 382.5
7/11 2,822.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 37
A1 —