Happy Valley · 2019-10-16
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SHINING ACE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with DANCING FIGHTER second and BUOYANT BOY third. The 2.8 favourite MY ALLY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SHINING ACE B 1.09.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | DANCING FIGHTER SR/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | BUOYANT BOY TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 5 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | PERFECT PAIR C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 9 | 36.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | BREEDERS' SKY CP H N Wong · R Gibson | H N Wong | R Gibson | 4 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MY ALLY TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 7 | 2.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | STARLIGHT P- H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 6 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | YOUNG LEGEND H/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 3 | 7.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SIMPLY BIG XB K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 2 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | MOMENTUM GALAXY H/P K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | INTERSTELLAR TT1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 171.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | HAPPY FAMILY H/P T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 8 | 143.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | JOYFUL UNION M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DANCING FIGHTER | 37.7% | 2.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | SHINING ACE | 19.9% | 5.02 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | MY ALLY | 13.8% | 7.26 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | BUOYANT BOY | 8.2% | 12.18 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | SIMPLY BIG | 5.6% | 18.00 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | PERFECT PAIR | 5.1% | 19.75 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | YOUNG LEGEND | 2.7% | 36.91 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 2.1% | 48.67 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | STARLIGHT | 1.9% | 51.32 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | BREEDERS' SKY | 1.6% | 64.29 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | HAPPY FAMILY | 0.9% | 116.17 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | INTERSTELLAR | 0.7% | 141.79 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 49
PLACE
1 19.5
8 19.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
1,12 142
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 73
1,12 49.5
8,12 52
TIERCE
12,1,8 1,359
TRIO
1,8,12 259
FIRST 4
1,8,10,12 1,318
QUARTET
12,1,8,10 25,969
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,12/1,8,12 142,521
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 20.5
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/1 249.5
3/12 1,804