Happy Valley · 2019-10-16
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HIGH REV Closed strongly B/XB 1.39.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 1.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 6.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART Closed strongly R Bayliss · J Size | R Bayliss | J Size | 3 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER Closed strongly H-/SR- H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 12 | 127.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL YOU KNOW Closed strongly B/H/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 11 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BABY Led early B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 35.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LOOKING GOOD B G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 8 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 10.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | EARTH TRILOGY XB N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 7 | 8.0 | 21-1/4 |
| — | 0 | WIN WIN B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | ARCADA K H Chan · A T Millard | K H Chan | A T Millard | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-16 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HIGH REV, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 3-1/4, with UNIVERSAL GO GO second and HAR HAR HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HIGH REV | 40.6% | 2.47 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LOOKING GOOD | 12.3% | 8.12 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT | 12.1% | 8.26 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 11.9% | 8.40 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL YOU KNOW | 7.2% | 13.93 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | EARTH TRILOGY | 5.3% | 19.03 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 4.4% | 22.57 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART | 2.7% | 37.20 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | BABY | 2.7% | 37.64 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | PARTY TOGETHER | 0.9% | 111.73 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 17.5
PLACE
4 66
7 10.5
9 16.5
QUINELLA
7,9 53
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 103.5
4,9 264
7,9 23.5
TIERCE
7,9,4 1,383
TRIO
4,7,9 434
FIRST 4
4,5,7,9 4,361
QUARTET
7,9,4,5 31,649
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5
All pools (3 more)
7TH DOUBLE
12/1,2,7 86.5
12/9 78.5
SIX UP
3,11/5,8/8,9/3,12/1,12/1,2,7,9 128,722
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
3/12/1,2,7 3,020
3/12/9 2,550