Happy Valley · 2019-10-23
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RIGHT HONOURABLE, ridden by C Schofield and trained by R Gibson, won by N, with ENJOY LIFE second and SPEEDY WALLY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.40.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 9 | 30.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | ENJOY LIFE Closed strongly B U Rispoli · Y S Tsui | U Rispoli | Y S Tsui | 5 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | SPEEDY WALLY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 11 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE Led early H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 4 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | AMAZING SATCHMO Closed strongly B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | PLAY WISE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 2.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | CHIU CHOW KID Closed strongly TT A Sanna · T P Yung | A Sanna | T P Yung | 8 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | THE FULL BLOOM T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 1 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SOCKET ELITE N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 6 | 132.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | THOU SHALL SING TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MULTIMAX V-/TT H N Wong · L Ho | H N Wong | L Ho | 10 | 103.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE | 38.4% | 2.60 | 7 |
| 2 | 10 | SPEEDY WALLY | 12.7% | 7.85 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | AMAZING SATCHMO | 12.2% | 8.18 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | THOU SHALL SING | 9.4% | 10.62 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | PLAY WISE | 5.8% | 17.29 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 4.8% | 20.76 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | CHIU CHOW KID | 4.6% | 21.55 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | MULTIMAX | 4.1% | 24.58 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | ENJOY LIFE | 3.1% | 32.01 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.4% | 41.35 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | THE FULL BLOOM | 1.4% | 72.76 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | SOCKET ELITE | 1.0% | 100.81 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 305.5
PLACE
3 66.5
8 27
10 16
QUINELLA
3,8 1,474
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 354.5
3,10 217
8,10 70.5
TIERCE
3,8,10 17,503
TRIO
3,8,10 1,700
FIRST 4
3,4,8,10 7,218
QUARTET
3,8,10,4 247,854
2ND DOUBLE
5/3 1,511
5/8 156
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 45.5
A1 —