Happy Valley · 2019-10-23
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-23 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SPEEDY KING, ridden by A Sanna and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with SUPER TURBO second and YEE CHEONG BABY third. The 1.5 favourite YEE CHEONG BABY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SPEEDY KING 1.09.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Sanna · P F Yiu | A Sanna | P F Yiu | 2 | 51.0 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER TURBO B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 42.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | YEE CHEONG BABY Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 1 | 1.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | TORNADO TWIST E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | WALDORF B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | CUE THE MUSIC L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 3 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | PRANCE DRAGON B G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 9 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | STORM SIGNAL B/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 4 | 51.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER B B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 6 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | LOVING A BOOM B/XB K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 11 | 9.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SPEED VISION B/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 12 | 75.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUNNY BOY C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | YEE CHEONG BABY | 34.8% | 2.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | TORNADO TWIST | 20.2% | 4.95 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER | 9.8% | 10.25 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | WALDORF | 6.9% | 14.52 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | PRANCE DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.36 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | CUE THE MUSIC | 4.3% | 23.07 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | LOVING A BOOM | 4.2% | 24.02 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | WATER DIVINER | 3.5% | 28.69 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | SPEEDY KING | 3.4% | 29.24 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER TURBO | 3.1% | 32.04 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | SPEED VISION | 2.6% | 37.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | STORM SIGNAL | 2.5% | 40.46 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 515.5
PLACE
1 11
5 75.5
12 88.5
QUINELLA
5,12 7,731
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 94.5
1,12 149
5,12 1,541
TIERCE
5,12,1 65,672
TRIO
1,5,12 2,483
FIRST 4
1,3,5,12 2,338
QUARTET
5,12,1,3 205,557
3 PICK 1
A3 46
A2 —
A1 —
All pools (3 more)
8TH DOUBLE
5/5 455.5
5/12 139.5
SIX UP
5,9/1,6/3,5/11,12/5,7/5,12 181,256
9/1/3/12/5/5 3,073,207
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
12/5/5 8,595
12/5/12 2,590