Happy Valley · 2019-10-23
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VERY RICH MAN H/TT1 1.10.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | IRON BOY B/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 10 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | LITTLE THUNDER A Domeyer · A T Millard | A Domeyer | A T Millard | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL WONGCHOY TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 3 | 2.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN GLORY B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 4 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | KANBEKI MOLLY M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 7 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY GUY TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 5.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | NICE FANDANGO H/XB G van Niekerk · C Fownes | G van Niekerk | C Fownes | 11 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUNNY DRAGON CP/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 9 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | DR LUCKY STAR B1 M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 5 | 60.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2019-10-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VERY RICH MAN, ridden by H T Mo and trained by L Ho, won by 1, with IRON BOY second and LITTLE THUNDER third. The 2.4 favourite ALL WONGCHOY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL WONGCHOY | 34.8% | 2.88 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | LITTLE THUNDER | 13.9% | 7.21 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY GUY | 13.4% | 7.46 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | IRON BOY | 10.4% | 9.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS | 7.5% | 13.31 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | VERY RICH MAN | 7.4% | 13.59 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNNY DRAGON | 4.4% | 22.90 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | NICE FANDANGO | 3.5% | 28.23 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | KANBEKI MOLLY | 2.0% | 48.90 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN GLORY | 1.7% | 59.79 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | DR LUCKY STAR | 1.1% | 91.11 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 72.5
PLACE
1 19.5
6 39
7 27.5
QUINELLA
1,6 574.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 147.5
1,7 110
6,7 215.5
TIERCE
1,6,7 9,462
TRIO
1,6,7 1,647
FIRST 4
1,3,6,7 587
QUARTET
1,6,7,3 22,260
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/1,6,7 15,686
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/1 247
9/6 71