Sha Tin · 2019-11-09
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLASTOISE Closed strongly 1.34.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 12 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SAVVY SEVEN Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · J Moore | C Y Ho | J Moore | 1 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 5 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LITTLE GENERAL CP-/B1/H2 G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 14 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | KING'S RACE Led early CP/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 13 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly XB-/V1/TT1 K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 3 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA Closed strongly H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 107.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AEROFLASH L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 144.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN Closed strongly K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 7 | 194.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHIU CHOW KID Closed strongly TT A Sanna · T P Yung | A Sanna | T P Yung | 4 | 53.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DYNASTA B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | EPTIWINS H-/XB B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 9 | 15.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 2 | 152.0 | 14-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-09 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BLASTOISE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 1-1/4, with SAVVY SEVEN second and CHEERFUL LEADER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVVY SEVEN | 18.2% | 5.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 16.1% | 6.21 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | DYNASTA | 13.4% | 7.48 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 13.0% | 7.69 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | KING'S RACE | 11.0% | 9.06 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | LITTLE GENERAL | 9.0% | 11.05 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 6.5% | 15.47 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | EPTIWINS | 4.8% | 20.88 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 3.3% | 30.34 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | CHIU CHOW KID | 1.4% | 70.51 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 1.1% | 93.52 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | AEROFLASH | 0.9% | 107.04 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 0.7% | 136.93 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | SOCKET ELITE | 0.5% | 187.99 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 25.5
PLACE
6 13.5
7 44.5
14 23.5
QUINELLA
6,14 102
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 85
6,14 39
7,14 186
TIERCE
6,14,7 2,084
TRIO
6,7,14 516
FIRST 4
6,7,13,14 430
QUARTET
6,14,7,13 6,968
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
5/6 200
5/14 70