Sha Tin · 2019-11-09
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC Closed strongly B/XB1/TT 1.47.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 6 | 63.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 9 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | PROUD SKY Closed strongly V J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 7 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LIVERBIRD STAR Led early B1 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LE PANACHE B K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 14 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SKY GEM V1 A Sanna · C Fownes | A Sanna | C Fownes | 1 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FULL OF CHANCES CP B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 2 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY Closed strongly B A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 4 | 8.4 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | ROCKAGE Closed strongly B/H/XB/TT H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 13 | 85.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | GUERDON HELMET B2 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 131.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | FRIENDS OF NANJING CP/TT R Bayliss · K L Man | R Bayliss | K L Man | 11 | 59.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-09 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. REEVE'S MUNTJAC, ridden by U Rispoli and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with REGENCY GEM second and THE JOY OF GIVING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite REGENCY GEM finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 23.2% | 4.31 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | PROUD SKY | 16.5% | 6.07 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 11.9% | 8.39 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | LE PANACHE | 11.6% | 8.65 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | LIVERBIRD STAR | 9.4% | 10.65 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY GEM | 9.2% | 10.93 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 3.8% | 26.55 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 2.7% | 36.53 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | FULL OF CHANCES | 2.6% | 39.03 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | FRIENDS OF NANJING | 2.4% | 41.65 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 1.8% | 56.37 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | GUERDON HELMET | 1.7% | 57.31 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 1.7% | 60.09 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | ROCKAGE | 1.6% | 61.06 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 632
PLACE
4 56
5 16.5
9 155
QUINELLA
5,9 1,595.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 158.5
4,9 1,292.5
5,9 507
TIERCE
9,5,4 64,116
TRIO
4,5,9 7,345
FIRST 4
4,5,9,11 10,176
QUARTET
9,5,4,11 348,632
1ST DOUBLE
9/5 56.5
9/9 2,668
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 22
A1 —
A2 —