Sha Tin · 2019-11-09
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENCOURAGING Closed strongly B/TT 1.19.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 1 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD STANDING Closed strongly B/XB N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 9 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly H Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON GENERAL Closed strongly B2/TT U Rispoli · Y S Tsui | U Rispoli | Y S Tsui | 2 | 46.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | NOTHINGILIKEMORE Closed strongly B B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 5 | 36.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GUNNISON A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 60.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TAKING AIM Closed strongly XB G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 8 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 2.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE Closed strongly B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | RED WARRIOR Closed strongly TT1 A Sanna · J Size | A Sanna | J Size | 10 | 36.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | WALDORF Led early B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 13 | 94.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | FLYING THUNDER XB C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 12.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-09 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ENCOURAGING, ridden by K H Chan and trained by J Moore, won by 1-3/4, with GOOD STANDING second and FAST MOST FURIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite CHAMPION'S WAY finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 32.7% | 3.06 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 15.0% | 6.65 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE | 10.2% | 9.85 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | FLYING THUNDER | 7.7% | 13.00 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | ENCOURAGING | 7.4% | 13.43 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | TAKING AIM | 5.8% | 17.39 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 5.1% | 19.54 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | WALDORF | 3.9% | 25.92 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | RED WARRIOR | 3.7% | 26.90 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD STANDING | 2.8% | 35.31 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | NOTHINGILIKEMORE | 2.0% | 50.41 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | GUNNISON | 2.0% | 50.63 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | DRAGON GENERAL | 1.8% | 56.33 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 63.5
PLACE
2 48.5
5 19.5
9 15
QUINELLA
2,5 627.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 154
2,9 131
5,9 39.5
TIERCE
5,2,9 4,009
TRIO
2,5,9 680
FIRST 4
2,5,9,10 3,841
QUARTET
5,2,9,10 67,733
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
9,13,14/2,5,9 227,656
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16
6TH DOUBLE
9/2 533
9/5 1,709
WINNING TRAINER
B2 40
B1 —
B4 —
B3 —