Sha Tin · 2019-11-09
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPLENDOUR AND GOLD Closed strongly 2.00.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 5.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly XB B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 7 | 9.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TASHIDELEK CP/TT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 9 | 6.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 13 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly U Rispoli · Y S Tsui | U Rispoli | Y S Tsui | 2 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 6 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE CP/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 5 | 6.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RULE THEE K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARITY GO SR-/H1 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE V J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HOME WIN B N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 10 | 147.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | RULETHEROOST CP A Sanna · F C Lor | A Sanna | F C Lor | 14 | 40.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | JOLLY GENE Led early B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 29.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | I DO Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-09 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SPLENDOUR AND GOLD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with GLORIOUS DRAGON second and TASHIDELEK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.5 favourite HAPPY SEBRING finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 27.9% | 3.59 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY SEBRING | 13.3% | 7.51 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SPLENDOUR AND GOLD | 10.3% | 9.68 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 8.8% | 11.36 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 6.0% | 16.65 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT | 5.4% | 18.54 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 5.1% | 19.57 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARITY GO | 5.1% | 19.76 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | RULETHEROOST | 5.0% | 20.10 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | TASHIDELEK | 4.5% | 22.16 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING | 3.6% | 28.12 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | RULE THEE | 2.3% | 43.88 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | JOLLY GENE | 1.7% | 59.61 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | HOME WIN | 1.1% | 91.87 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 56
PLACE
2 29
5 33
8 21
QUINELLA
2,8 321
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 211
2,8 120.5
5,8 122.5
TIERCE
8,2,5 7,056
TRIO
2,5,8 1,232
FIRST 4
2,5,8,13 5,564
QUARTET
8,2,5,13 121,243
3 PICK 1
A2 19.5
A1 —
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
6/2 36
6/8 219.5