Sha Tin · 2019-11-09
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNICORNBABY Closed strongly B/TT1 1.21.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 13 | 27.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | FALCON TURBO Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET Closed strongly J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 8 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER Closed strongly B/SR K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly U Rispoli · C W Chang | U Rispoli | C W Chang | 7 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER ALLIANCES Led early TT1 R Bayliss · J Size | R Bayliss | J Size | 12 | 5.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 42.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MY POWER H/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 2 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | OLD HAVANA Closed strongly P H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 80.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LORIZ B A Sanna · P F Yiu | A Sanna | P F Yiu | 3 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 14 | 124.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE Closed strongly H-/V/XB Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | FOODIE PRINCESS H1/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 10 | 14.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | KELMIMI WINS TT1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 58.0 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-09 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. UNICORNBABY, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by N, with FALCON TURBO second and TELECOM ROCKET third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite TELECOM ROCKET finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 27.5% | 3.64 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | FALCON TURBO | 17.3% | 5.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER | 11.9% | 8.38 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 9.4% | 10.69 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 9.1% | 11.02 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 5.0% | 20.10 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 4.9% | 20.54 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | MY POWER | 4.3% | 23.37 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | LORIZ | 3.7% | 27.30 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | UNICORNBABY | 2.2% | 45.35 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 1.6% | 61.82 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 1.3% | 77.36 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | OLD HAVANA | 1.1% | 87.27 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | KELMIMI WINS | 0.8% | 122.23 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 278
PLACE
1 20
2 76
14 15.5
QUINELLA
1,2 660.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 177.5
1,14 49
2,14 172.5
TIERCE
2,1,14 9,290
TRIO
1,2,14 859
FIRST 4
1,2,5,14 2,229
QUARTET
2,1,14,5 70,772
2ND DOUBLE
9/1 757
9/2 8,735
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 29
A2 —