沙田 · 2019-11-09
第 3場
2019-11-09沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、R Gibson訓練的UNICORNBABY勝出，贏出N。FALCON TURBO獲得亞軍；TELECOM ROCKET獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門TELECOM ROCKET跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | UNICORNBABY 後段發力 B/TT1 1.21.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 13 | 27.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | FALCON TURBO 後段發力 B G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 14 | TELECOM ROCKET 後段發力 J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 8 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | WITNESS HUNTER 後段發力 B/SR K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | GOLDEN FOUR 後段發力 U Rispoli · C W Chang | U Rispoli | C W Chang | 7 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES 早段領放 TT1 R Bayliss · J Size | R Bayliss | J Size | 12 | 5.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | SHINEALOT 後段發力 L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 42.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | MY POWER H/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 2 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | OLD HAVANA 後段發力 P H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 80.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | LORIZ B A Sanna · P F Yiu | A Sanna | P F Yiu | 3 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 CP-/B1/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 14 | 124.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | KA YING BRILLIANCE 後段發力 H-/V/XB Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | FOODIE PRINCESS H1/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 10 | 14.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | KELMIMI WINS TT1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 58.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | TELECOM ROCKET | 27.5% | 3.64 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | FALCON TURBO | 17.3% | 5.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | WITNESS HUNTER | 11.9% | 8.38 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | GOLDEN FOUR | 9.4% | 10.69 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 9.1% | 11.02 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 5.0% | 20.10 | 13 |
| 7 | 12 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 4.9% | 20.54 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | MY POWER | 4.3% | 23.37 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | LORIZ | 3.7% | 27.30 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | UNICORNBABY | 2.2% | 45.35 | 1 |
| 11 | 13 | SHINEALOT | 1.6% | 61.82 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 1.3% | 77.36 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | OLD HAVANA | 1.1% | 87.27 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | KELMIMI WINS | 0.8% | 122.23 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 278
PLACE
1 20
2 76
14 15.5
QUINELLA
1,2 660.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 177.5
1,14 49
2,14 172.5
TIERCE
2,1,14 9,290
TRIO
1,2,14 859
FIRST 4
1,2,5,14 2,229
QUARTET
2,1,14,5 70,772
2ND DOUBLE
9/1 757
9/2 8,735
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 29
A1 —