沙田 · 2019-11-09
第 10場
2019-11-09沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、W Y So訓練的LAKESHORE EAGLE勝出，贏出N。MONICA獲得亞軍；SUPER STAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.2倍大熱門SUPER STAR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LAKESHORE EAGLE 後段發力 1.21.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | MONICA 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 11 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER STAR 後段發力 J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 14 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | EVERYONE'S JOY 後段發力 XB/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 1 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | BEAUTY LOYAL B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CRAIG'S STAR B B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 10 | 8.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY FORCE 早段領放 B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 12 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | SACRED IBIS 後段發力 B-/BO1 M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | ENZEMBLE XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 96.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | ALCARI B G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE B/H C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 9.5 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | ANONYMA TT1 A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 7 | 175.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | HARBOUR ALERT CP H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 13 | 252.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER STAR | 22.3% | 4.49 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | CRAIG'S STAR | 17.8% | 5.63 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 15.1% | 6.63 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 7.9% | 12.60 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 6.5% | 15.28 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | ALCARI | 6.3% | 15.88 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE | 5.9% | 16.84 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY FORCE | 4.6% | 21.78 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | MONICA | 4.0% | 24.77 | 2 |
| 10 | 13 | GREAT TREASURE | 3.5% | 28.29 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | SACRED IBIS | 3.4% | 29.64 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | ENZEMBLE | 1.2% | 84.17 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | HARBOUR ALERT | 0.8% | 121.02 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | ANONYMA | 0.6% | 161.80 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 113
PLACE
3 21.5
10 32
11 37.5
QUINELLA
10,11 811
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 118.5
3,11 164.5
10,11 226
TIERCE
10,11,3 7,611
TRIO
3,10,11 1,179
FIRST 4
3,9,10,11 1,421
QUARTET
10,11,3,9 43,064
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 21.5
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/3,10,11 156,211
9TH DOUBLE
8/10 748.5
8/11 200
SIX UP
7,8/9,13/2,5/6,14/2,8/10,11 9,630
7/9/5/6/8/10 6,461,631
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/8/10 3,153
6/8/11 720