沙田 · 2019-11-09
第 6場
2019-11-09沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由H W Lai策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的MONGOLIAN LEGEND勝出，贏出3/4。DEAL MAKER獲得亞軍；GENERAL DINO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.9倍大熱門DEAL MAKER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND 後段發力 1.39.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 9 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | DEAL MAKER 後段發力 H J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 5 | 1.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | GENERAL DINO 後段發力 B A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 14 | 53.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | COBY OPPA CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | VOLPINO 後段發力 H/XB/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 2 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | VIGOR FAME 早段領放 H-/XB2/TT2 K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 8 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | OWNERS' STAR 後段發力 B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 7 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE SR-/XB1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | BEAUTY ICON B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 12 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | LAST KINGDOM XB/P1 A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 6 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/P/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 3 | 34.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | GRAN MASTER H/V K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 82.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | GO GO FIRST B/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 10 | 51.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 5 | EARTH TRILOGY XB/CP1 L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 13 | 69.0 | 15-3/4 |
| — | 0 | WARM THE VOICE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | DEAL MAKER | 32.1% | 3.12 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | BEAUTY ICON | 12.0% | 8.35 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | COBY OPPA | 9.6% | 10.44 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 7.9% | 12.59 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | OWNERS' STAR | 7.0% | 14.25 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | VOLPINO | 6.7% | 14.98 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | VIGOR FAME | 5.9% | 16.99 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | LAST KINGDOM | 5.4% | 18.40 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 4.2% | 23.76 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | EARTH TRILOGY | 2.4% | 41.18 | 14 |
| 11 | 9 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 2.3% | 43.85 | 1 |
| 12 | 11 | GRAN MASTER | 1.8% | 54.15 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | GO GO FIRST | 1.6% | 63.37 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | GENERAL DINO | 1.1% | 91.29 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 255
PLACE
9 52.5
13 12
14 100
QUINELLA
9,13 299
QUINELLA PLACE
9,13 112
9,14 1,083.5
13,14 152.5
TIERCE
9,13,14 19,596
TRIO
9,13,14 1,855
FIRST 4
2,9,13,14 5,187
QUARTET
9,13,14,2 151,391
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 51
A1 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
7/9 1,545.5
7/13 62
TRIPLE TRIO
3,7,11/6,7,8/9,13,14 1,446,818
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,7,11/6,7,8/Any Combination 4,444