Sha Tin · 2019-11-09
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly 1.21.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MONICA Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 11 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER STAR Closed strongly J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 14 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY Closed strongly XB/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 1 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CRAIG'S STAR B B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 10 | 8.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY FORCE Led early B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 12 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly B-/BO1 M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ENZEMBLE XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 96.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ALCARI B G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE B/H C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 9.5 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | ANONYMA TT1 A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 7 | 175.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | HARBOUR ALERT CP H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 13 | 252.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2019-11-09 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LAKESHORE EAGLE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W Y So, won by N, with MONICA second and SUPER STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite SUPER STAR finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER STAR | 22.3% | 4.49 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | CRAIG'S STAR | 17.8% | 5.63 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 15.1% | 6.63 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 7.9% | 12.60 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 6.5% | 15.28 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | ALCARI | 6.3% | 15.88 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE | 5.9% | 16.84 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY FORCE | 4.6% | 21.78 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | MONICA | 4.0% | 24.77 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 3.5% | 28.29 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | SACRED IBIS | 3.4% | 29.64 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | ENZEMBLE | 1.2% | 84.17 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | HARBOUR ALERT | 0.8% | 121.02 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | ANONYMA | 0.6% | 161.80 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 113
PLACE
3 21.5
10 32
11 37.5
QUINELLA
10,11 811
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 118.5
3,11 164.5
10,11 226
TIERCE
10,11,3 7,611
TRIO
3,10,11 1,179
FIRST 4
3,9,10,11 1,421
QUARTET
10,11,3,9 43,064
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A2 —
A1 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/3,10,11 156,211
9TH DOUBLE
8/10 748.5
8/11 200
SIX UP
7,8/9,13/2,5/6,14/2,8/10,11 9,630
7/9/5/6/8/10 6,461,631
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/8/10 3,153
6/8/11 720